Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 1st Congressional District race due to the seat's entrenched Democratic lean on Chicago's South Side and surrounding areas, where the party has routinely secured large margins in recent cycles. As the incumbent first elected in 2022, Jackson advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary and benefits from established name recognition, superior fundraising, and endorsements typical for the district. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, who won her March primary, faces structural barriers in a constituency rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Historical patterns in similar strongholds show challengers rarely close such gaps absent major shifts in turnout, national conditions, or late developments such as candidate withdrawals or scandals that could still alter outcomes before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourIL-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la maison
IL-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la maison
$54,755 Vol.
$54,755 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Jonathan Jackson (D)
96%
Christian Maxwell (R)
4%
$54,755 Vol.
$54,755 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Jonathan Jackson (D)
$30,061 Vol.
96%
Christian Maxwell (R)
$24,694 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 1st Congressional District race due to the seat's entrenched Democratic lean on Chicago's South Side and surrounding areas, where the party has routinely secured large margins in recent cycles. As the incumbent first elected in 2022, Jackson advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary and benefits from established name recognition, superior fundraising, and endorsements typical for the district. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, who won her March primary, faces structural barriers in a constituency rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Historical patterns in similar strongholds show challengers rarely close such gaps absent major shifts in turnout, national conditions, or late developments such as candidate withdrawals or scandals that could still alter outcomes before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$54,755Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 1st Congressional District race due to the seat's entrenched Democratic lean on Chicago's South Side and surrounding areas, where the party has routinely secured large margins in recent cycles. As the incumbent first elected in 2022, Jackson advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary and benefits from established name recognition, superior fundraising, and endorsements typical for the district. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, who won her March primary, faces structural barriers in a constituency rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Historical patterns in similar strongholds show challengers rarely close such gaps absent major shifts in turnout, national conditions, or late developments such as candidate withdrawals or scandals that could still alter outcomes before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$54,755Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 1st Congressional District race due to the seat's entrenched Democratic lean on Chicago's South Side and surrounding areas, where the party has routinely secured large margins in recent cycles. As the incumbent first elected in 2022, Jackson advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary and benefits from established name recognition, superior fundraising, and endorsements typical for the district. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, who won her March primary, faces structural barriers in a constituency rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Historical patterns in similar strongholds show challengers rarely close such gaps absent major shifts in turnout, national conditions, or late developments such as candidate withdrawals or scandals that could still alter outcomes before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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