The open IL-08 seat, vacated by incumbent Democrat Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid, features a strongly Democratic-leaning suburban Chicago district that has favored the party in recent cycles. Melissa Bean’s March 2026 primary victory over a crowded field, leveraging her prior congressional experience and name recognition, has solidified trader expectations of a general-election hold. Republican nominee Jennifer Davis faces structural headwinds in fundraising and voter registration advantages that keep the implied probability near 92.5 percent. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or significant national political realignment remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre IL-08
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre IL-08
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
93%
Parti républicain
7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$3,799 Vol.
93%
Parti républicain
$5,132 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open IL-08 seat, vacated by incumbent Democrat Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid, features a strongly Democratic-leaning suburban Chicago district that has favored the party in recent cycles. Melissa Bean’s March 2026 primary victory over a crowded field, leveraging her prior congressional experience and name recognition, has solidified trader expectations of a general-election hold. Republican nominee Jennifer Davis faces structural headwinds in fundraising and voter registration advantages that keep the implied probability near 92.5 percent. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or significant national political realignment remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$8,931Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open IL-08 seat, vacated by incumbent Democrat Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid, features a strongly Democratic-leaning suburban Chicago district that has favored the party in recent cycles. Melissa Bean’s March 2026 primary victory over a crowded field, leveraging her prior congressional experience and name recognition, has solidified trader expectations of a general-election hold. Republican nominee Jennifer Davis faces structural headwinds in fundraising and voter registration advantages that keep the implied probability near 92.5 percent. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or significant national political realignment remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,931Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open IL-08 seat, vacated by incumbent Democrat Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid, features a strongly Democratic-leaning suburban Chicago district that has favored the party in recent cycles. Melissa Bean’s March 2026 primary victory over a crowded field, leveraging her prior congressional experience and name recognition, has solidified trader expectations of a general-election hold. Republican nominee Jennifer Davis faces structural headwinds in fundraising and voter registration advantages that keep the implied probability near 92.5 percent. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or significant national political realignment remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes