Melissa Bean holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 8th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean and her March 2026 primary victory, where substantial super PAC support helped her defeat progressive challengers for the open seat vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi. The district's suburban Chicago composition favors Democratic candidates in general elections, and Bean's prior service representing the area from 2005 to 2011 provides name recognition and established donor networks. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid Democratic. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually high Republican turnout, national political shifts affecting down-ballot races, or unforeseen developments in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre IL-08
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre IL-08
$21,818 Vol.
$21,818 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Melissa Bean (D)
94%
Jennifer Davis (R)
6%
$21,818 Vol.
$21,818 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Melissa Bean (D)
$9,791 Vol.
94%
Jennifer Davis (R)
$12,027 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 8th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean and her March 2026 primary victory, where substantial super PAC support helped her defeat progressive challengers for the open seat vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi. The district's suburban Chicago composition favors Democratic candidates in general elections, and Bean's prior service representing the area from 2005 to 2011 provides name recognition and established donor networks. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid Democratic. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually high Republican turnout, national political shifts affecting down-ballot races, or unforeseen developments in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$21,818Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 8th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean and her March 2026 primary victory, where substantial super PAC support helped her defeat progressive challengers for the open seat vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi. The district's suburban Chicago composition favors Democratic candidates in general elections, and Bean's prior service representing the area from 2005 to 2011 provides name recognition and established donor networks. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid Democratic. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually high Republican turnout, national political shifts affecting down-ballot races, or unforeseen developments in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,818Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Melissa Bean holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 8th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean and her March 2026 primary victory, where substantial super PAC support helped her defeat progressive challengers for the open seat vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi. The district's suburban Chicago composition favors Democratic candidates in general elections, and Bean's prior service representing the area from 2005 to 2011 provides name recognition and established donor networks. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid Democratic. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually high Republican turnout, national political shifts affecting down-ballot races, or unforeseen developments in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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