**Market-implied odds for July 2026 U.S. CPI favor a modest monthly increase, with ≥0.1% carrying 66% probability.** This positioning stems primarily from the sharp -0.4% MoM drop in June 2026 headline CPI—larger than consensus forecasts—which was driven by a 5.7% energy decline amid easing gasoline prices following the U.S.-Iran ceasefire. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to a July rebound of +0.09% MoM (headline) and +0.21% (core), consistent with base effects and persistent shelter costs. Trader consensus, reflected in real-capital positions, prices in limited further downside after the outsized June print, while upcoming August 12 release data will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour≥0,1 % 67%
0,0 % 32%
-0,1 % 2.1%
≤-0,7 % <1%
$117,440 Vol.
$117,440 Vol.
12 août 2026
≤-0,7 %
1%
-0,6 %
<1%
-0,5 %
<1%
-0,4 %
<1%
-0,3 %
<1%
-0,2 %
<1%
-0,1 %
2%
0,0 %
32%
≥0,1 %
67%
≥0,1 % 67%
0,0 % 32%
-0,1 % 2.1%
≤-0,7 % <1%
$117,440 Vol.
$117,440 Vol.
12 août 2026
≤-0,7 %
$7,271 Vol.
1%
-0,6 %
$4,307 Vol.
<1%
-0,5 %
$4,025 Vol.
<1%
-0,4 %
$3,939 Vol.
<1%
-0,3 %
$4,193 Vol.
<1%
-0,2 %
$4,463 Vol.
<1%
-0,1 %
$9,081 Vol.
2%
0,0 %
$25,106 Vol.
32%
≥0,1 %
$55,056 Vol.
67%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Market-implied odds for July 2026 U.S. CPI favor a modest monthly increase, with ≥0.1% carrying 66% probability.** This positioning stems primarily from the sharp -0.4% MoM drop in June 2026 headline CPI—larger than consensus forecasts—which was driven by a 5.7% energy decline amid easing gasoline prices following the U.S.-Iran ceasefire. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to a July rebound of +0.09% MoM (headline) and +0.21% (core), consistent with base effects and persistent shelter costs. Trader consensus, reflected in real-capital positions, prices in limited further downside after the outsized June print, while upcoming August 12 release data will resolve the market.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Marché ouvert : Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ET
Volume
$117,440Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Market-implied odds for July 2026 U.S. CPI favor a modest monthly increase, with ≥0.1% carrying 66% probability.** This positioning stems primarily from the sharp -0.4% MoM drop in June 2026 headline CPI—larger than consensus forecasts—which was driven by a 5.7% energy decline amid easing gasoline prices following the U.S.-Iran ceasefire. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to a July rebound of +0.09% MoM (headline) and +0.21% (core), consistent with base effects and persistent shelter costs. Trader consensus, reflected in real-capital positions, prices in limited further downside after the outsized June print, while upcoming August 12 release data will resolve the market.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$117,440Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds for July 2026 U.S. CPI favor a modest monthly increase, with ≥0.1% carrying 66% probability.** This positioning stems primarily from the sharp -0.4% MoM drop in June 2026 headline CPI—larger than consensus forecasts—which was driven by a 5.7% energy decline amid easing gasoline prices following the U.S.-Iran ceasefire. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to a July rebound of +0.09% MoM (headline) and +0.21% (core), consistent with base effects and persistent shelter costs. Trader consensus, reflected in real-capital positions, prices in limited further downside after the outsized June print, while upcoming August 12 release data will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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