Analyst consensus from the Central Bank’s REM survey and private forecasters places 2026 annual inflation near 30%, with median estimates ranging from 29% to 33% as of early September. This positioning reflects sustained fiscal surpluses and monetary restraint under the current administration, which have anchored expectations and supported a moderation in monthly rates toward 1.8-2.1% despite July’s slight reacceleration to 2.1%. External pressures from energy prices and regulated adjustments have tempered faster disinflation, creating the tight contest between the 25-29.9% and 30-34.9% ranges as markets weigh inertia in core measures against improving reserve accumulation and exchange-rate stability. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming INDEC releases and any shifts in monetary policy guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour30,0-34,9 % 51.6%
25-29,9 % 44%
35–39,9 % 4.0%
<20 % 1.8%
$45,160 Vol.
$45,160 Vol.
9 janv. 2027
<20 %
2%
20-24,9 %
1%
25-29,9 %
44%
30,0-34,9 %
52%
35–39,9 %
4%
40-44,9 %
1%
45 %+
2%
30,0-34,9 % 51.6%
25-29,9 % 44%
35–39,9 % 4.0%
<20 % 1.8%
$45,160 Vol.
$45,160 Vol.
9 janv. 2027
<20 %
$4,648 Vol.
2%
20-24,9 %
$3,226 Vol.
1%
25-29,9 %
$13,192 Vol.
44%
30,0-34,9 %
$13,632 Vol.
52%
35–39,9 %
$3,470 Vol.
4%
40-44,9 %
$3,553 Vol.
1%
45 %+
$3,439 Vol.
2%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Analyst consensus from the Central Bank’s REM survey and private forecasters places 2026 annual inflation near 30%, with median estimates ranging from 29% to 33% as of early September. This positioning reflects sustained fiscal surpluses and monetary restraint under the current administration, which have anchored expectations and supported a moderation in monthly rates toward 1.8-2.1% despite July’s slight reacceleration to 2.1%. External pressures from energy prices and regulated adjustments have tempered faster disinflation, creating the tight contest between the 25-29.9% and 30-34.9% ranges as markets weigh inertia in core measures against improving reserve accumulation and exchange-rate stability. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming INDEC releases and any shifts in monetary policy guidance.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volume
$45,160Date de fin
10 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Analyst consensus from the Central Bank’s REM survey and private forecasters places 2026 annual inflation near 30%, with median estimates ranging from 29% to 33% as of early September. This positioning reflects sustained fiscal surpluses and monetary restraint under the current administration, which have anchored expectations and supported a moderation in monthly rates toward 1.8-2.1% despite July’s slight reacceleration to 2.1%. External pressures from energy prices and regulated adjustments have tempered faster disinflation, creating the tight contest between the 25-29.9% and 30-34.9% ranges as markets weigh inertia in core measures against improving reserve accumulation and exchange-rate stability. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming INDEC releases and any shifts in monetary policy guidance.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$45,160Date de fin
10 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Analyst consensus from the Central Bank’s REM survey and private forecasters places 2026 annual inflation near 30%, with median estimates ranging from 29% to 33% as of early September. This positioning reflects sustained fiscal surpluses and monetary restraint under the current administration, which have anchored expectations and supported a moderation in monthly rates toward 1.8-2.1% despite July’s slight reacceleration to 2.1%. External pressures from energy prices and regulated adjustments have tempered faster disinflation, creating the tight contest between the 25-29.9% and 30-34.9% ranges as markets weigh inertia in core measures against improving reserve accumulation and exchange-rate stability. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming INDEC releases and any shifts in monetary policy guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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