**Market-implied odds for Argentina’s 2026 annual inflation show a tight contest between the 30.0-34.9% and 25-29.9% brackets, reflecting trader focus on the pace of disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal surplus and managed exchange-rate framework.** Recent INDEC data place July year-over-year inflation at 33.8%, with monthly readings near 2.1% after an earlier energy-price shock from Middle East tensions. Central Bank REM surveys and private analyst forecasts converge around a 30% year-end outcome, supported by contained monetary aggregates, reserve accumulation, and positive real rates, though seasonal pressures and inertia in regulated prices create upside risks. The next monthly release and any further BCRA communications on the policy rate path will likely influence positioning ahead of year-end resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour30,0-34,9 % 51.6%
25-29,9 % 43%
35–39,9 % 3.6%
<20 % 1.8%
$45,160 Vol.
$45,160 Vol.
9 janv. 2027
<20 %
2%
20-24,9 %
1%
25-29,9 %
43%
30,0-34,9 %
52%
35–39,9 %
4%
40-44,9 %
1%
45 %+
2%
30,0-34,9 % 51.6%
25-29,9 % 43%
35–39,9 % 3.6%
<20 % 1.8%
$45,160 Vol.
$45,160 Vol.
9 janv. 2027
<20 %
$4,648 Vol.
2%
20-24,9 %
$3,226 Vol.
1%
25-29,9 %
$13,192 Vol.
43%
30,0-34,9 %
$13,632 Vol.
52%
35–39,9 %
$3,470 Vol.
4%
40-44,9 %
$3,553 Vol.
1%
45 %+
$3,439 Vol.
2%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Market-implied odds for Argentina’s 2026 annual inflation show a tight contest between the 30.0-34.9% and 25-29.9% brackets, reflecting trader focus on the pace of disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal surplus and managed exchange-rate framework.** Recent INDEC data place July year-over-year inflation at 33.8%, with monthly readings near 2.1% after an earlier energy-price shock from Middle East tensions. Central Bank REM surveys and private analyst forecasts converge around a 30% year-end outcome, supported by contained monetary aggregates, reserve accumulation, and positive real rates, though seasonal pressures and inertia in regulated prices create upside risks. The next monthly release and any further BCRA communications on the policy rate path will likely influence positioning ahead of year-end resolution.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volume
$45,160Date de fin
10 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Market-implied odds for Argentina’s 2026 annual inflation show a tight contest between the 30.0-34.9% and 25-29.9% brackets, reflecting trader focus on the pace of disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal surplus and managed exchange-rate framework.** Recent INDEC data place July year-over-year inflation at 33.8%, with monthly readings near 2.1% after an earlier energy-price shock from Middle East tensions. Central Bank REM surveys and private analyst forecasts converge around a 30% year-end outcome, supported by contained monetary aggregates, reserve accumulation, and positive real rates, though seasonal pressures and inertia in regulated prices create upside risks. The next monthly release and any further BCRA communications on the policy rate path will likely influence positioning ahead of year-end resolution.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$45,160Date de fin
10 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...**Market-implied odds for Argentina’s 2026 annual inflation show a tight contest between the 30.0-34.9% and 25-29.9% brackets, reflecting trader focus on the pace of disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal surplus and managed exchange-rate framework.** Recent INDEC data place July year-over-year inflation at 33.8%, with monthly readings near 2.1% after an earlier energy-price shock from Middle East tensions. Central Bank REM surveys and private analyst forecasts converge around a 30% year-end outcome, supported by contained monetary aggregates, reserve accumulation, and positive real rates, though seasonal pressures and inertia in regulated prices create upside risks. The next monthly release and any further BCRA communications on the policy rate path will likely influence positioning ahead of year-end resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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