Skip to main content
icon for Inflation annuelle au Mexique 2026
Économie·Inflation

Inflation annuelle au Mexique 2026

icon for Inflation annuelle au Mexique 2026
Économie·Inflation

Inflation annuelle au Mexique 2026

3,50 % à 3,99 % 40.1%

4,00 % à 4,49 % 29%

3,00 % à 3,49 % 16.4%

4,50 % à 4,99 % 8%

Polymarket

$64,480 Vol.

3,50 % à 3,99 % 40.1%

4,00 % à 4,49 % 29%

3,00 % à 3,49 % 16.4%

4,50 % à 4,99 % 8%

Polymarket

$64,480 Vol.

<2,50 %

$1,111 Vol.

2%

2,50 % à 2,99 %

$4,895 Vol.

5%

3,00 % à 3,49 %

$28,611 Vol.

16%

3,50 % à 3,99 %

$4,034 Vol.

35%

4,00 % à 4,49 %

$12,313 Vol.

29%

4,50 % à 4,99 %

$4,752 Vol.

8%

5,00 % à 5,49 %

$2,452 Vol.

4%

5,50 %+

$6,313 Vol.

3%

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent July 2026 CPI data showing headline inflation easing to 3.12% year-over-year—the lowest level since 2020—has anchored trader expectations for Mexico's full-year 2026 reading near the upper end of the Bank of Mexico's 2-4% target band. Core inflation at 3.95% and subdued non-core components reflect persistent but moderating service and goods pressures, while analyst forecasts from institutions like BBVA and the IMF cluster around 3.9%. With 3.50-3.99% and 4.00-4.49% bins holding the highest implied probabilities at 34.9% and 28.5%, markets price in continued disinflation offset by risks from domestic demand and peso volatility. Key catalysts ahead include September CPI prints and Banxico policy decisions that could refine the terminal rate path.

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.

The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/

Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Volume
$64,480
Date de fin
8 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent July 2026 CPI data showing headline inflation easing to 3.12% year-over-year—the lowest level since 2020—has anchored trader expectations for Mexico's full-year 2026 reading near the upper end of the Bank of Mexico's 2-4% target band. Core inflation at 3.95% and subdued non-core components reflect persistent but moderating service and goods pressures, while analyst forecasts from institutions like BBVA and the IMF cluster around 3.9%. With 3.50-3.99% and 4.00-4.49% bins holding the highest implied probabilities at 34.9% and 28.5%, markets price in continued disinflation offset by risks from domestic demand and peso volatility. Key catalysts ahead include September CPI prints and Banxico policy decisions that could refine the terminal rate path.

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.

The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/

Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Volume
$64,480
Date de fin
8 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario

Connexes

icon for L'inflation annuelle de l'Argentine en 2026 sera-t-elle comprise entre 30 % et 34,9 % ?

L'inflation annuelle de l'Argentine en 2026 sera-t-elle comprise entre 30 % et 34,9 % ?

49%
Oui
icon for L'inflation annuelle du Brésil en 2026 sera-t-elle comprise entre 5,00 % et 5,49 % ?

L'inflation annuelle du Brésil en 2026 sera-t-elle comprise entre 5,00 % et 5,49 % ?

47%
Oui
icon for L'inflation annuelle de l'Inde en 2026 sera-t-elle d'au moins 4,50 % ?

L'inflation annuelle de l'Inde en 2026 sera-t-elle d'au moins 4,50 % ?

80%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Inflation annuelle au Mexique 2026 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 3,50 % à 3,99 % » à 35%, suivi de « 4,00 % à 4,49 % » à 28%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 35¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 35% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Inflation annuelle au Mexique 2026 » a généré $64.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 9, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Inflation annuelle au Mexique 2026 », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Inflation annuelle au Mexique 2026 » est « 3,50 % à 3,99 % » à 35%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 35% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 4,00 % à 4,49 % » à 28%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Inflation annuelle au Mexique 2026 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.