Recent Eurozone data and projections position the 0.8-1.1% outcome as the market-implied consensus for Q3 2026 GDP growth. Q2 delivered a resilient 0.4% quarter-on-quarter expansion, supported by Spanish momentum and revisions lifting the prior quarter, while August flash PMIs reached a nine-month high at 52.1, signaling around 0.3% quarterly output growth amid manufacturing strength in Germany and services stability. Eurosystem staff projections from June peg full-year 2026 growth at 0.8%, with the IMF and ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters aligning near 0.6-0.9%, reflecting persistent energy price pressures from Middle East developments and modestly restrictive ECB policy. Traders price in these factors alongside fiscal support in Germany and improving sentiment, though elevated inflation near 2.9% and supply disruptions introduce downside risks that could shift probabilities ahead of the November release.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour0.8-1.1% 61%
0.4-0.7% 21%
1.2-1.5% 7.8%
1.6-1.9% 5.3%
$49,262 Vol.
$49,262 Vol.
30 oct. 2026
<0.0%
<1%
0.0-0.3%
5%
0.4-0.7%
21%
0.8-1.1%
61%
1.2-1.5%
8%
1.6-1.9%
5%
2.0%+
4%
0.8-1.1% 61%
0.4-0.7% 21%
1.2-1.5% 7.8%
1.6-1.9% 5.3%
$49,262 Vol.
$49,262 Vol.
30 oct. 2026
<0.0%
$1,156 Vol.
<1%
0.0-0.3%
$979 Vol.
5%
0.4-0.7%
$9,085 Vol.
21%
0.8-1.1%
$34,605 Vol.
61%
1.2-1.5%
$1,534 Vol.
8%
1.6-1.9%
$1,074 Vol.
5%
2.0%+
$828 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Eurozone data and projections position the 0.8-1.1% outcome as the market-implied consensus for Q3 2026 GDP growth. Q2 delivered a resilient 0.4% quarter-on-quarter expansion, supported by Spanish momentum and revisions lifting the prior quarter, while August flash PMIs reached a nine-month high at 52.1, signaling around 0.3% quarterly output growth amid manufacturing strength in Germany and services stability. Eurosystem staff projections from June peg full-year 2026 growth at 0.8%, with the IMF and ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters aligning near 0.6-0.9%, reflecting persistent energy price pressures from Middle East developments and modestly restrictive ECB policy. Traders price in these factors alongside fiscal support in Germany and improving sentiment, though elevated inflation near 2.9% and supply disruptions introduce downside risks that could shift probabilities ahead of the November release.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Volume
$49,262Date de fin
30 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Eurozone data and projections position the 0.8-1.1% outcome as the market-implied consensus for Q3 2026 GDP growth. Q2 delivered a resilient 0.4% quarter-on-quarter expansion, supported by Spanish momentum and revisions lifting the prior quarter, while August flash PMIs reached a nine-month high at 52.1, signaling around 0.3% quarterly output growth amid manufacturing strength in Germany and services stability. Eurosystem staff projections from June peg full-year 2026 growth at 0.8%, with the IMF and ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters aligning near 0.6-0.9%, reflecting persistent energy price pressures from Middle East developments and modestly restrictive ECB policy. Traders price in these factors alongside fiscal support in Germany and improving sentiment, though elevated inflation near 2.9% and supply disruptions introduce downside risks that could shift probabilities ahead of the November release.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$49,262Date de fin
30 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent Eurozone data and projections position the 0.8-1.1% outcome as the market-implied consensus for Q3 2026 GDP growth. Q2 delivered a resilient 0.4% quarter-on-quarter expansion, supported by Spanish momentum and revisions lifting the prior quarter, while August flash PMIs reached a nine-month high at 52.1, signaling around 0.3% quarterly output growth amid manufacturing strength in Germany and services stability. Eurosystem staff projections from June peg full-year 2026 growth at 0.8%, with the IMF and ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters aligning near 0.6-0.9%, reflecting persistent energy price pressures from Middle East developments and modestly restrictive ECB policy. Traders price in these factors alongside fiscal support in Germany and improving sentiment, though elevated inflation near 2.9% and supply disruptions introduce downside risks that could shift probabilities ahead of the November release.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes