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Économie·PIB

Croissance annuelle du PIB de la zone euro 2026

icon for Croissance annuelle du PIB de la zone euro 2026
Économie·PIB

Croissance annuelle du PIB de la zone euro 2026

janv. 31, 2027

janv. 31, 2027

0-1,0 % 66.9%

1,0-2,0 % 25%

<0 % 5.8%

4,0-5,0 % <1%

Polymarket

$28,764 Vol.

0-1,0 % 66.9%

1,0-2,0 % 25%

<0 % 5.8%

4,0-5,0 % <1%

Polymarket

$28,764 Vol.

<0 %

$1,615 Vol.

6%

0-1,0 %

$10,688 Vol.

67%

1,0-2,0 %

$6,957 Vol.

25%

2,0-3,0 %

$1,121 Vol.

<1%

3,0-4,0 %

$1,027 Vol.

<1%

4,0-5,0 %

$2,108 Vol.

1%

5,0-6,0 %

$1,127 Vol.

<1%

6,0-7,0 %

$2,544 Vol.

1%

7,0 %+

$1,579 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Subdued euro area growth momentum and successive downward revisions to institutional forecasts underpin the 66.8% implied probability for 0-1.0% annual GDP expansion in 2026. The Q2 2026 flash reading of 0.4% quarter-over-quarter exceeded expectations yet followed a -0.2% Q1 contraction, while the IMF trimmed its 2026 projection to 0.9% and the ECB lowered its outlook to 0.8% in June. Persistent weakness in PMI readings, soft industrial production, and external headwinds have tempered domestic demand expectations. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these data points, with modest wage-supported consumption providing limited offset. Key upcoming catalysts include the August 14 Q2 second estimate, September ECB policy meeting, and further inflation and labor-market releases that could shift rate-path and growth expectations.

This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,764
Date de fin
31 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Subdued euro area growth momentum and successive downward revisions to institutional forecasts underpin the 66.8% implied probability for 0-1.0% annual GDP expansion in 2026. The Q2 2026 flash reading of 0.4% quarter-over-quarter exceeded expectations yet followed a -0.2% Q1 contraction, while the IMF trimmed its 2026 projection to 0.9% and the ECB lowered its outlook to 0.8% in June. Persistent weakness in PMI readings, soft industrial production, and external headwinds have tempered domestic demand expectations. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these data points, with modest wage-supported consumption providing limited offset. Key upcoming catalysts include the August 14 Q2 second estimate, September ECB policy meeting, and further inflation and labor-market releases that could shift rate-path and growth expectations.

This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,764
Date de fin
31 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Connexes

icon for Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?

Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?

49%
icon for La croissance annuelle du PIB de la Chine en 2026 (A/A) sera-t-elle comprise entre 4,0 % et 5,0 % ?

La croissance annuelle du PIB de la Chine en 2026 (A/A) sera-t-elle comprise entre 4,0 % et 5,0 % ?

87%
Oui
icon for La croissance annuelle du PIB du Royaume-Uni en 2026 sera-t-elle comprise entre 1 % et 2 % ?

La croissance annuelle du PIB du Royaume-Uni en 2026 sera-t-elle comprise entre 1 % et 2 % ?

57%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Croissance annuelle du PIB de la zone euro 2026 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 9 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 0-1,0 % » à 67%, suivi de « 1,0-2,0 % » à 25%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 67¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 67% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Croissance annuelle du PIB de la zone euro 2026 » a généré $28.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 21, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Croissance annuelle du PIB de la zone euro 2026 », parcourez les 9 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Croissance annuelle du PIB de la zone euro 2026 » est « 0-1,0 % » à 67%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 67% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 1,0-2,0 % » à 25%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Croissance annuelle du PIB de la zone euro 2026 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.