Recent June CPI data, featuring a larger-than-expected 0.4% month-over-month decline driven by energy prices, has shaped expectations for a modest rebound in July. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently point to headline MoM readings near 0.09–0.21%, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 67% implied probability on ≥0.1%. Core measures appear more stable, supporting the 24.5% odds on flat prints while discounting deeper declines. The August 12 BLS release remains the key catalyst, with any deviation in energy or shelter components likely to shift probabilities ahead of the FOMC meeting. These market-implied odds aggregate real-capital positioning rather than forecasts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour≥0,1 % 67%
0,0 % 25%
-0,1 % 5.4%
≤-0,7 % <1%
$143,797 Vol.
$143,797 Vol.
12 août 2026
≤-0,7 %
1%
-0,6 %
<1%
-0,5 %
<1%
-0,4 %
<1%
-0,3 %
<1%
-0,2 %
<1%
-0,1 %
5%
0,0 %
25%
≥0,1 %
67%
≥0,1 % 67%
0,0 % 25%
-0,1 % 5.4%
≤-0,7 % <1%
$143,797 Vol.
$143,797 Vol.
12 août 2026
≤-0,7 %
$11,778 Vol.
1%
-0,6 %
$5,778 Vol.
<1%
-0,5 %
$5,496 Vol.
<1%
-0,4 %
$5,435 Vol.
<1%
-0,3 %
$5,743 Vol.
<1%
-0,2 %
$5,914 Vol.
<1%
-0,1 %
$11,708 Vol.
5%
0,0 %
$27,906 Vol.
25%
≥0,1 %
$64,040 Vol.
67%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June CPI data, featuring a larger-than-expected 0.4% month-over-month decline driven by energy prices, has shaped expectations for a modest rebound in July. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently point to headline MoM readings near 0.09–0.21%, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 67% implied probability on ≥0.1%. Core measures appear more stable, supporting the 24.5% odds on flat prints while discounting deeper declines. The August 12 BLS release remains the key catalyst, with any deviation in energy or shelter components likely to shift probabilities ahead of the FOMC meeting. These market-implied odds aggregate real-capital positioning rather than forecasts.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Marché ouvert : Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ET
Volume
$143,797Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June CPI data, featuring a larger-than-expected 0.4% month-over-month decline driven by energy prices, has shaped expectations for a modest rebound in July. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently point to headline MoM readings near 0.09–0.21%, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 67% implied probability on ≥0.1%. Core measures appear more stable, supporting the 24.5% odds on flat prints while discounting deeper declines. The August 12 BLS release remains the key catalyst, with any deviation in energy or shelter components likely to shift probabilities ahead of the FOMC meeting. These market-implied odds aggregate real-capital positioning rather than forecasts.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$143,797Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June CPI data, featuring a larger-than-expected 0.4% month-over-month decline driven by energy prices, has shaped expectations for a modest rebound in July. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently point to headline MoM readings near 0.09–0.21%, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 67% implied probability on ≥0.1%. Core measures appear more stable, supporting the 24.5% odds on flat prints while discounting deeper declines. The August 12 BLS release remains the key catalyst, with any deviation in energy or shelter components likely to shift probabilities ahead of the FOMC meeting. These market-implied odds aggregate real-capital positioning rather than forecasts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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