Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, including the recently formed Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan, have prioritized coordinated efforts toward self-determination and democratic administration in Kurdish-majority areas, primarily framed around potential post-regime transition or expanded autonomy rather than immediate secession. No major party such as PDKI, PJAK, or PAK has issued a formal declaration of an independent state or asserted governing authority over territory as of early June 2026, amid Iran's sustained security measures and regional opposition to fragmentation. Trader consensus at 98% against reflects this absence of concrete steps toward independence, consistent with historical patterns where Kurdish movements in Iran have emphasized federal or transitional arrangements. Late developments such as regime collapse creating a power vacuum or successful cross-border advances by opposition forces before the June 30 resolution date remain the primary scenarios that could shift the outcome.