President Lee Jae-myung’s constitutional immunity under Article 84 has suspended all five pending criminal cases, including election-law violations, Daejang-dong development allegations, and Ssangbangwool remittances, with courts citing protections for sitting presidents. Recent procedural steps reinforce this: police dismissed related complaints for lack of evidence in 2026, prosecutors closed others on jurisdictional grounds, and the ruling Democratic Party advanced special-counsel legislation to review or cancel prior indictments. Lee’s term runs until June 2030, and no legislative or judicial actions have altered his eligibility or triggered new detention proceedings. Traders therefore assign high probability that arrest or detention will not occur before the end of 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLee Jae-myung arrêté avant 2027 ?
Lee Jae-myung arrêté avant 2027 ?
Oui
7% chance
$539,747 Vol.
$539,747 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
7% chance
$539,747 Vol.
$539,747 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Lee Jae-myung’s constitutional immunity under Article 84 has suspended all five pending criminal cases, including election-law violations, Daejang-dong development allegations, and Ssangbangwool remittances, with courts citing protections for sitting presidents. Recent procedural steps reinforce this: police dismissed related complaints for lack of evidence in 2026, prosecutors closed others on jurisdictional grounds, and the ruling Democratic Party advanced special-counsel legislation to review or cancel prior indictments. Lee’s term runs until June 2030, and no legislative or judicial actions have altered his eligibility or triggered new detention proceedings. Traders therefore assign high probability that arrest or detention will not occur before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Volume
$539,747Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Lee Jae-myung’s constitutional immunity under Article 84 has suspended all five pending criminal cases, including election-law violations, Daejang-dong development allegations, and Ssangbangwool remittances, with courts citing protections for sitting presidents. Recent procedural steps reinforce this: police dismissed related complaints for lack of evidence in 2026, prosecutors closed others on jurisdictional grounds, and the ruling Democratic Party advanced special-counsel legislation to review or cancel prior indictments. Lee’s term runs until June 2030, and no legislative or judicial actions have altered his eligibility or triggered new detention proceedings. Traders therefore assign high probability that arrest or detention will not occur before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$539,747Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung’s constitutional immunity under Article 84 has suspended all five pending criminal cases, including election-law violations, Daejang-dong development allegations, and Ssangbangwool remittances, with courts citing protections for sitting presidents. Recent procedural steps reinforce this: police dismissed related complaints for lack of evidence in 2026, prosecutors closed others on jurisdictional grounds, and the ruling Democratic Party advanced special-counsel legislation to review or cancel prior indictments. Lee’s term runs until June 2030, and no legislative or judicial actions have altered his eligibility or triggered new detention proceedings. Traders therefore assign high probability that arrest or detention will not occur before the end of 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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