South Korean courts sentenced former President Yoon Suk-yeol to life imprisonment in February 2026 for leading an insurrection tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, with additional convictions and sentences, including 30 years on related charges, handed down by mid-2026. He has remained in continuous custody since mid-2025 amid multiple ongoing trials and appeals processes under South Korea's legal framework for high-level political offenses. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed verdicts and historical patterns of lengthy detention for similar insurrection-related cases, making release before 2027 improbable absent major procedural reversals. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include successful appeals reducing effective terms, executive clemency under the current administration, or documented health-related provisions allowing temporary or conditional release.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourYoon hors de garde avant 2027 ?
Yoon hors de garde avant 2027 ?
Oui
4% chance
$174,748 Vol.
$174,748 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
4% chance
$174,748 Vol.
$174,748 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean courts sentenced former President Yoon Suk-yeol to life imprisonment in February 2026 for leading an insurrection tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, with additional convictions and sentences, including 30 years on related charges, handed down by mid-2026. He has remained in continuous custody since mid-2025 amid multiple ongoing trials and appeals processes under South Korea's legal framework for high-level political offenses. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed verdicts and historical patterns of lengthy detention for similar insurrection-related cases, making release before 2027 improbable absent major procedural reversals. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include successful appeals reducing effective terms, executive clemency under the current administration, or documented health-related provisions allowing temporary or conditional release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Volume
$174,748Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean courts sentenced former President Yoon Suk-yeol to life imprisonment in February 2026 for leading an insurrection tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, with additional convictions and sentences, including 30 years on related charges, handed down by mid-2026. He has remained in continuous custody since mid-2025 amid multiple ongoing trials and appeals processes under South Korea's legal framework for high-level political offenses. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed verdicts and historical patterns of lengthy detention for similar insurrection-related cases, making release before 2027 improbable absent major procedural reversals. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include successful appeals reducing effective terms, executive clemency under the current administration, or documented health-related provisions allowing temporary or conditional release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$174,748Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korean courts sentenced former President Yoon Suk-yeol to life imprisonment in February 2026 for leading an insurrection tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, with additional convictions and sentences, including 30 years on related charges, handed down by mid-2026. He has remained in continuous custody since mid-2025 amid multiple ongoing trials and appeals processes under South Korea's legal framework for high-level political offenses. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed verdicts and historical patterns of lengthy detention for similar insurrection-related cases, making release before 2027 improbable absent major procedural reversals. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include successful appeals reducing effective terms, executive clemency under the current administration, or documented health-related provisions allowing temporary or conditional release.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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