South Korean courts convicted former President Yoon Suk-yeol of insurrection in February 2026 and imposed a life sentence tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, leaving him detained at the Seoul Detention Centre. A January 2026 detention warrant extended custody for an additional six months, and appeals processes in such high-profile cases typically span years without interim release. No executive pardon, constitutional relief, or procedural reversal has emerged since the verdict. These developments align with trader consensus reflected in the 90% probability on “No,” as historical patterns for similar convictions show sustained incarceration pending full appellate review. Upcoming hearings or political shifts could theoretically alter timelines, yet none are scheduled to resolve before 2027.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourYoon hors de garde avant 2027 ?
Yoon hors de garde avant 2027 ?
Oui
$149,639 Vol.
$149,639 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$149,639 Vol.
$149,639 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean courts convicted former President Yoon Suk-yeol of insurrection in February 2026 and imposed a life sentence tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, leaving him detained at the Seoul Detention Centre. A January 2026 detention warrant extended custody for an additional six months, and appeals processes in such high-profile cases typically span years without interim release. No executive pardon, constitutional relief, or procedural reversal has emerged since the verdict. These developments align with trader consensus reflected in the 90% probability on “No,” as historical patterns for similar convictions show sustained incarceration pending full appellate review. Upcoming hearings or political shifts could theoretically alter timelines, yet none are scheduled to resolve before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Volume
$149,639Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean courts convicted former President Yoon Suk-yeol of insurrection in February 2026 and imposed a life sentence tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, leaving him detained at the Seoul Detention Centre. A January 2026 detention warrant extended custody for an additional six months, and appeals processes in such high-profile cases typically span years without interim release. No executive pardon, constitutional relief, or procedural reversal has emerged since the verdict. These developments align with trader consensus reflected in the 90% probability on “No,” as historical patterns for similar convictions show sustained incarceration pending full appellate review. Upcoming hearings or political shifts could theoretically alter timelines, yet none are scheduled to resolve before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$149,639Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korean courts convicted former President Yoon Suk-yeol of insurrection in February 2026 and imposed a life sentence tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, leaving him detained at the Seoul Detention Centre. A January 2026 detention warrant extended custody for an additional six months, and appeals processes in such high-profile cases typically span years without interim release. No executive pardon, constitutional relief, or procedural reversal has emerged since the verdict. These developments align with trader consensus reflected in the 90% probability on “No,” as historical patterns for similar convictions show sustained incarceration pending full appellate review. Upcoming hearings or political shifts could theoretically alter timelines, yet none are scheduled to resolve before 2027.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes