Recent short-range forecast guidance from models like GFS and ECMWF indicates a September 18 minimum temperature in Ankara near 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, following scattered showers on the 16th–17th that have moderated nocturnal radiative cooling. Ankara’s 890-meter elevation and continental climate amplify sensitivity to clear-sky radiative losses versus cloud cover or advection, creating the observed market split between sub-10°C and 20°C+ outcomes. Upcoming updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings will likely narrow the spread as the 48-hour window tightens, with historical mid-September minima averaging 11–13°C providing limited additional context amid current transitional autumn patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Ankara le 18 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Ankara le 18 septembre ?
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
12°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
9%
11°C
19%
12°C
39%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
19%
17°C
11%
18°C
7%
19°C
5%
20°C ou plus
5%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
12°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
9%
11°C
$0 Vol.
19%
12°C
$0 Vol.
39%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
19%
17°C
$0 Vol.
11%
18°C
$0 Vol.
7%
19°C
$0 Vol.
5%
20°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from models like GFS and ECMWF indicates a September 18 minimum temperature in Ankara near 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, following scattered showers on the 16th–17th that have moderated nocturnal radiative cooling. Ankara’s 890-meter elevation and continental climate amplify sensitivity to clear-sky radiative losses versus cloud cover or advection, creating the observed market split between sub-10°C and 20°C+ outcomes. Upcoming updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings will likely narrow the spread as the 48-hour window tightens, with historical mid-September minima averaging 11–13°C providing limited additional context amid current transitional autumn patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from models like GFS and ECMWF indicates a September 18 minimum temperature in Ankara near 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, following scattered showers on the 16th–17th that have moderated nocturnal radiative cooling. Ankara’s 890-meter elevation and continental climate amplify sensitivity to clear-sky radiative losses versus cloud cover or advection, creating the observed market split between sub-10°C and 20°C+ outcomes. Upcoming updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings will likely narrow the spread as the 48-hour window tightens, with historical mid-September minima averaging 11–13°C providing limited additional context amid current transitional autumn patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast guidance from models like GFS and ECMWF indicates a September 18 minimum temperature in Ankara near 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, following scattered showers on the 16th–17th that have moderated nocturnal radiative cooling. Ankara’s 890-meter elevation and continental climate amplify sensitivity to clear-sky radiative losses versus cloud cover or advection, creating the observed market split between sub-10°C and 20°C+ outcomes. Upcoming updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings will likely narrow the spread as the 48-hour window tightens, with historical mid-September minima averaging 11–13°C providing limited additional context amid current transitional autumn patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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