Recent forecasts from multiple models show a cooling trend for Beijing on August 28 driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds associated with a weak cold air intrusion, pulling overnight lows toward 18–20°C after higher readings earlier in the week. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 19–20°C implied probabilities, as traders weigh ensemble guidance on minimum temperature amid typical late-summer variability. Historical August averages near 20°C provide context, yet short-term model spreads and localized urban effects introduce genuine uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes competitive ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Pékin le 28 août ?
La température la plus basse à Pékin le 28 août ?
19°C 47%
20°C 46%
21°C 36%
18°C 35%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
28 août 2026
15°C or below
9%
16°C
19%
17°C
24%
18°C
35%
19°C
47%
20°C
46%
21°C
36%
22°C
34%
23°C
13%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
2%
19°C 47%
20°C 46%
21°C 36%
18°C 35%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
28 août 2026
15°C or below
$37 Vol.
9%
16°C
$15 Vol.
19%
17°C
$0 Vol.
24%
18°C
$0 Vol.
35%
19°C
$0 Vol.
47%
20°C
$0 Vol.
46%
21°C
$0 Vol.
36%
22°C
$0 Vol.
34%
23°C
$0 Vol.
13%
24°C
$22 Vol.
2%
25°C or higher
$27 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show a cooling trend for Beijing on August 28 driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds associated with a weak cold air intrusion, pulling overnight lows toward 18–20°C after higher readings earlier in the week. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 19–20°C implied probabilities, as traders weigh ensemble guidance on minimum temperature amid typical late-summer variability. Historical August averages near 20°C provide context, yet short-term model spreads and localized urban effects introduce genuine uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes competitive ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$100Date de fin
28 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show a cooling trend for Beijing on August 28 driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds associated with a weak cold air intrusion, pulling overnight lows toward 18–20°C after higher readings earlier in the week. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 19–20°C implied probabilities, as traders weigh ensemble guidance on minimum temperature amid typical late-summer variability. Historical August averages near 20°C provide context, yet short-term model spreads and localized urban effects introduce genuine uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes competitive ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$100Date de fin
28 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models show a cooling trend for Beijing on August 28 driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds associated with a weak cold air intrusion, pulling overnight lows toward 18–20°C after higher readings earlier in the week. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 19–20°C implied probabilities, as traders weigh ensemble guidance on minimum temperature amid typical late-summer variability. Historical August averages near 20°C provide context, yet short-term model spreads and localized urban effects introduce genuine uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes competitive ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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