Recent forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles highlight northeasterly winds and partly cloudy conditions over Busan that are expected to produce overnight radiative cooling, positioning the September 7 minimum near 21–23°C. This atmospheric setup, with dew points around 15–18°C and light winds after sunset, supports trader emphasis on the 18°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability, while the 25% clustering around 19–23°C reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Historical September climatology shows typical minima of 20–22°C, and the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences keeps higher-temperature buckets (25°C+) at lower odds. Updated model runs on September 5–6 will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Busan le 7 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Busan le 7 septembre ?
18°C ou moins 100%
28°C ou plus 59%
19°C 49%
24°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 sept. 2026
18°C ou moins
100%
19°C
49%
20°C
2%
21°C
25%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
49%
25°C
23%
26°C
20%
27°C
19%
28°C ou plus
59%
18°C ou moins 100%
28°C ou plus 59%
19°C 49%
24°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 sept. 2026
18°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
100%
19°C
$0 Vol.
49%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
25%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$34 Vol.
49%
25°C
$36 Vol.
23%
26°C
$0 Vol.
20%
27°C
$0 Vol.
19%
28°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles highlight northeasterly winds and partly cloudy conditions over Busan that are expected to produce overnight radiative cooling, positioning the September 7 minimum near 21–23°C. This atmospheric setup, with dew points around 15–18°C and light winds after sunset, supports trader emphasis on the 18°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability, while the 25% clustering around 19–23°C reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Historical September climatology shows typical minima of 20–22°C, and the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences keeps higher-temperature buckets (25°C+) at lower odds. Updated model runs on September 5–6 will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$70Date de fin
7 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles highlight northeasterly winds and partly cloudy conditions over Busan that are expected to produce overnight radiative cooling, positioning the September 7 minimum near 21–23°C. This atmospheric setup, with dew points around 15–18°C and light winds after sunset, supports trader emphasis on the 18°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability, while the 25% clustering around 19–23°C reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Historical September climatology shows typical minima of 20–22°C, and the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences keeps higher-temperature buckets (25°C+) at lower odds. Updated model runs on September 5–6 will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$70Date de fin
7 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles highlight northeasterly winds and partly cloudy conditions over Busan that are expected to produce overnight radiative cooling, positioning the September 7 minimum near 21–23°C. This atmospheric setup, with dew points around 15–18°C and light winds after sunset, supports trader emphasis on the 18°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability, while the 25% clustering around 19–23°C reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Historical September climatology shows typical minima of 20–22°C, and the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences keeps higher-temperature buckets (25°C+) at lower odds. Updated model runs on September 5–6 will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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