Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s for Chicago on August 26, driven by partly cloudy skies after afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms, followed by clearing under light west winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling while Lake Michigan's moderating influence and residual moisture keep temperatures from falling sharply below forecast guidance. Leading market bins at 66-67°F (38%) and 68-69°F (31%) reflect tight clustering around this range, with 64-65°F (27%) capturing downside risk if skies clear earlier than expected. Traders weigh ensemble spread in timing of clearing and storm dissipation against climatological norms near 65°F, with resolution hinging on official observations from Chicago-area stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chicago le 26 août ?
La température la plus basse à Chicago le 26 août ?
58-59°F 47%
66-67°F 34%
68-69°F 32%
64-65°F 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
55°F or below
2%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
47%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
24%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
34%
68-69°F
32%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
2%
74°F or higher
25%
58-59°F 47%
66-67°F 34%
68-69°F 32%
64-65°F 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
55°F or below
$5 Vol.
2%
56-57°F
$5 Vol.
5%
58-59°F
$5 Vol.
47%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
24%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
24%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
27%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
34%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
32%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
24%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
2%
74°F or higher
$5 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s for Chicago on August 26, driven by partly cloudy skies after afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms, followed by clearing under light west winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling while Lake Michigan's moderating influence and residual moisture keep temperatures from falling sharply below forecast guidance. Leading market bins at 66-67°F (38%) and 68-69°F (31%) reflect tight clustering around this range, with 64-65°F (27%) capturing downside risk if skies clear earlier than expected. Traders weigh ensemble spread in timing of clearing and storm dissipation against climatological norms near 65°F, with resolution hinging on official observations from Chicago-area stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$25Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s for Chicago on August 26, driven by partly cloudy skies after afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms, followed by clearing under light west winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling while Lake Michigan's moderating influence and residual moisture keep temperatures from falling sharply below forecast guidance. Leading market bins at 66-67°F (38%) and 68-69°F (31%) reflect tight clustering around this range, with 64-65°F (27%) capturing downside risk if skies clear earlier than expected. Traders weigh ensemble spread in timing of clearing and storm dissipation against climatological norms near 65°F, with resolution hinging on official observations from Chicago-area stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s for Chicago on August 26, driven by partly cloudy skies after afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms, followed by clearing under light west winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling while Lake Michigan's moderating influence and residual moisture keep temperatures from falling sharply below forecast guidance. Leading market bins at 66-67°F (38%) and 68-69°F (31%) reflect tight clustering around this range, with 64-65°F (27%) capturing downside risk if skies clear earlier than expected. Traders weigh ensemble spread in timing of clearing and storm dissipation against climatological norms near 65°F, with resolution hinging on official observations from Chicago-area stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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