Market-implied odds reflect substantial uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models for Helsinki’s overnight low on August 30, with 15 °C and 11 °C-or-below outcomes nearly tied. The Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF guidance show an approaching cold front advecting cooler Baltic maritime air northward, while variable cloud cover and wind speeds will modulate radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Seasonal climatology places typical late-August minima near 12–14 °C; any strengthening of northerly flow or clearer skies could push readings toward the lower cluster, whereas persistent southerly winds would favor the 15 °C outcome. Fresh model runs and official observations from Helsinki-Vantaa Airport are the next catalysts likely to shift trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Helsinki le 30 août ?
11°C or below 60%
21°C or higher 43%
14°C 27%
12°C 26%
11°C or below
60%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
27%
15°C
31%
16°C
23%
17°C
23%
18°C
8%
19°C
7%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
43%
11°C or below 60%
21°C or higher 43%
14°C 27%
12°C 26%
11°C or below
60%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
27%
15°C
31%
16°C
23%
17°C
23%
18°C
8%
19°C
7%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
43%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds reflect substantial uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models for Helsinki’s overnight low on August 30, with 15 °C and 11 °C-or-below outcomes nearly tied. The Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF guidance show an approaching cold front advecting cooler Baltic maritime air northward, while variable cloud cover and wind speeds will modulate radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Seasonal climatology places typical late-August minima near 12–14 °C; any strengthening of northerly flow or clearer skies could push readings toward the lower cluster, whereas persistent southerly winds would favor the 15 °C outcome. Fresh model runs and official observations from Helsinki-Vantaa Airport are the next catalysts likely to shift trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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