**Trader consensus on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 24 rests on post-event confirmation from Hong Kong Observatory observations.** Overnight temperatures held steady near 28°C under cloudy skies with light rain and showers, limiting radiative cooling and diurnal temperature range in the subtropical maritime climate. Multiple independent records, including hourly data showing no dip below this threshold amid 70–95% relative humidity and southwesterly flow, align precisely with the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges would require revised official HKO station data revealing a brief localized drop or measurement discrepancies across sites, though current verified readings and climatological norms for late August make such revisions improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 24 août ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 24 août ?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$39,604 Vol.
$39,604 Vol.
24 août 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$39,604 Vol.
$39,604 Vol.
24 août 2026
21°C or below
$130 Vol.
No
22°C
$120 Vol.
No
23°C
$210 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,561 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,132 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,645 Vol.
No
27°C
$5,177 Vol.
No
28°C
$14,389 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$9,196 Vol.
No
30°C
$915 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$130 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 24 rests on post-event confirmation from Hong Kong Observatory observations.** Overnight temperatures held steady near 28°C under cloudy skies with light rain and showers, limiting radiative cooling and diurnal temperature range in the subtropical maritime climate. Multiple independent records, including hourly data showing no dip below this threshold amid 70–95% relative humidity and southwesterly flow, align precisely with the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges would require revised official HKO station data revealing a brief localized drop or measurement discrepancies across sites, though current verified readings and climatological norms for late August make such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$39,604Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 24 rests on post-event confirmation from Hong Kong Observatory observations.** Overnight temperatures held steady near 28°C under cloudy skies with light rain and showers, limiting radiative cooling and diurnal temperature range in the subtropical maritime climate. Multiple independent records, including hourly data showing no dip below this threshold amid 70–95% relative humidity and southwesterly flow, align precisely with the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges would require revised official HKO station data revealing a brief localized drop or measurement discrepancies across sites, though current verified readings and climatological norms for late August make such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$39,604Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
**Trader consensus on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 24 rests on post-event confirmation from Hong Kong Observatory observations.** Overnight temperatures held steady near 28°C under cloudy skies with light rain and showers, limiting radiative cooling and diurnal temperature range in the subtropical maritime climate. Multiple independent records, including hourly data showing no dip below this threshold amid 70–95% relative humidity and southwesterly flow, align precisely with the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges would require revised official HKO station data revealing a brief localized drop or measurement discrepancies across sites, though current verified readings and climatological norms for late August make such revisions improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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