**Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to an overnight low near 15°C in Jinan on September 16, 2026, as the dominant factor behind the 75.5% market-implied probability.** Partly to mostly cloudy skies overnight, combined with light southwesterly winds of 5–10 km/h and moderate humidity around 40–50%, are expected to limit radiative cooling compared to clear conditions, while the seasonal retreat of summer warmth in northern China supports a dip from daytime highs of 33–34°C. Historical September lows average near 18°C, but recent model runs show slightly cooler boundary-layer temperatures due to the current synoptic pattern. Upcoming official observations from local stations will resolve the market, with traders weighting the consensus around 15°C over lower outliers like 14°C amid low precipitation risk and stable steering flow.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Jinan le 16 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Jinan le 16 septembre ?
15°C 99%
12°C ou moins 52%
14°C 51%
13°C 50%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 sept. 2026
12°C ou moins
52%
13°C
50%
14°C
51%
15°C
99%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C ou plus
<1%
15°C 99%
12°C ou moins 52%
14°C 51%
13°C 50%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 sept. 2026
12°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
52%
13°C
$0 Vol.
50%
14°C
$0 Vol.
51%
15°C
$250 Vol.
99%
16°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
22°C ou plus
$258 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to an overnight low near 15°C in Jinan on September 16, 2026, as the dominant factor behind the 75.5% market-implied probability.**
Partly to mostly cloudy skies overnight, combined with light southwesterly winds of 5–10 km/h and moderate humidity around 40–50%, are expected to limit radiative cooling compared to clear conditions, while the seasonal retreat of summer warmth in northern China supports a dip from daytime highs of 33–34°C. Historical September lows average near 18°C, but recent model runs show slightly cooler boundary-layer temperatures due to the current synoptic pattern. Upcoming official observations from local stations will resolve the market, with traders weighting the consensus around 15°C over lower outliers like 14°C amid low precipitation risk and stable steering flow.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$965Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to an overnight low near 15°C in Jinan on September 16, 2026, as the dominant factor behind the 75.5% market-implied probability.**
Partly to mostly cloudy skies overnight, combined with light southwesterly winds of 5–10 km/h and moderate humidity around 40–50%, are expected to limit radiative cooling compared to clear conditions, while the seasonal retreat of summer warmth in northern China supports a dip from daytime highs of 33–34°C. Historical September lows average near 18°C, but recent model runs show slightly cooler boundary-layer temperatures due to the current synoptic pattern. Upcoming official observations from local stations will resolve the market, with traders weighting the consensus around 15°C over lower outliers like 14°C amid low precipitation risk and stable steering flow.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$965Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to an overnight low near 15°C in Jinan on September 16, 2026, as the dominant factor behind the 75.5% market-implied probability.** Partly to mostly cloudy skies overnight, combined with light southwesterly winds of 5–10 km/h and moderate humidity around 40–50%, are expected to limit radiative cooling compared to clear conditions, while the seasonal retreat of summer warmth in northern China supports a dip from daytime highs of 33–34°C. Historical September lows average near 18°C, but recent model runs show slightly cooler boundary-layer temperatures due to the current synoptic pattern. Upcoming official observations from local stations will resolve the market, with traders weighting the consensus around 15°C over lower outliers like 14°C amid low precipitation risk and stable steering flow.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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