Recent Met Office guidance shows a nighttime low near 12°C in London on August 21, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend with increased Atlantic influence and variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling. Historical August minima average 13–14°C at central stations, providing context for the tight 13°C (42.5%) versus 14°C (37.5%) market split; traders weigh ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that can shift overnight lows by 1–2°C. Short-range model runs remain sensitive to evolving high-pressure positioning, with any clearer skies favoring the lower outcome while increased cloud would support the higher. Updated forecasts and observational trends through the weekend will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 21 août ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 21 août ?
13°C 42%
14°C 38%
12°C 13%
11°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
8°C ou moins
4%
9°C
4%
10°C
7%
11°C
10%
12°C
13%
13°C
42%
14°C
38%
15°C
9%
16°C
10%
17°C
2%
18°C ou plus
1%
13°C 42%
14°C 38%
12°C 13%
11°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
8°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
4%
9°C
$5 Vol.
4%
10°C
$0 Vol.
7%
11°C
$0 Vol.
10%
12°C
$0 Vol.
13%
13°C
$62 Vol.
42%
14°C
$41 Vol.
38%
15°C
$5 Vol.
9%
16°C
$0 Vol.
10%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance shows a nighttime low near 12°C in London on August 21, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend with increased Atlantic influence and variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling. Historical August minima average 13–14°C at central stations, providing context for the tight 13°C (42.5%) versus 14°C (37.5%) market split; traders weigh ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that can shift overnight lows by 1–2°C. Short-range model runs remain sensitive to evolving high-pressure positioning, with any clearer skies favoring the lower outcome while increased cloud would support the higher. Updated forecasts and observational trends through the weekend will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$118Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance shows a nighttime low near 12°C in London on August 21, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend with increased Atlantic influence and variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling. Historical August minima average 13–14°C at central stations, providing context for the tight 13°C (42.5%) versus 14°C (37.5%) market split; traders weigh ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that can shift overnight lows by 1–2°C. Short-range model runs remain sensitive to evolving high-pressure positioning, with any clearer skies favoring the lower outcome while increased cloud would support the higher. Updated forecasts and observational trends through the weekend will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$118Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance shows a nighttime low near 12°C in London on August 21, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend with increased Atlantic influence and variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling. Historical August minima average 13–14°C at central stations, providing context for the tight 13°C (42.5%) versus 14°C (37.5%) market split; traders weigh ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that can shift overnight lows by 1–2°C. Short-range model runs remain sensitive to evolving high-pressure positioning, with any clearer skies favoring the lower outcome while increased cloud would support the higher. Updated forecasts and observational trends through the weekend will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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