Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum of 17–18 °C in London on 27 August, driven by southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air after overnight thunderstorms, combined with persistent cloud cover and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Surface observations from the preceding 48 hours show dew points near 16–18 °C and only modest wind speeds, reducing the potential for sharper drops, while historical August minima average near 13 °C. Traders therefore cluster between 18 °C and 19 °C implied probability, reflecting model spread on exact clearing timing and whether any brief post-rain break allows temperatures to reach the lower end of guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 27 août ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 27 août ?
18°C 39%
19°C 37%
20°C 13%
17°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
27 août 2026
13°C ou moins
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
12%
18°C
39%
19°C
37%
20°C
13%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C ou plus
<1%
18°C 39%
19°C 37%
20°C 13%
17°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
27 août 2026
13°C ou moins
$20 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$20 Vol.
1%
15°C
$20 Vol.
1%
16°C
$20 Vol.
1%
17°C
$147 Vol.
12%
18°C
$508 Vol.
39%
19°C
$495 Vol.
37%
20°C
$318 Vol.
13%
21°C
$180 Vol.
4%
22°C
$20 Vol.
1%
23°C ou plus
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum of 17–18 °C in London on 27 August, driven by southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air after overnight thunderstorms, combined with persistent cloud cover and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Surface observations from the preceding 48 hours show dew points near 16–18 °C and only modest wind speeds, reducing the potential for sharper drops, while historical August minima average near 13 °C. Traders therefore cluster between 18 °C and 19 °C implied probability, reflecting model spread on exact clearing timing and whether any brief post-rain break allows temperatures to reach the lower end of guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,769Date de fin
27 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum of 17–18 °C in London on 27 August, driven by southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air after overnight thunderstorms, combined with persistent cloud cover and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Surface observations from the preceding 48 hours show dew points near 16–18 °C and only modest wind speeds, reducing the potential for sharper drops, while historical August minima average near 13 °C. Traders therefore cluster between 18 °C and 19 °C implied probability, reflecting model spread on exact clearing timing and whether any brief post-rain break allows temperatures to reach the lower end of guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,769Date de fin
27 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum of 17–18 °C in London on 27 August, driven by southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air after overnight thunderstorms, combined with persistent cloud cover and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Surface observations from the preceding 48 hours show dew points near 16–18 °C and only modest wind speeds, reducing the potential for sharper drops, while historical August minima average near 13 °C. Traders therefore cluster between 18 °C and 19 °C implied probability, reflecting model spread on exact clearing timing and whether any brief post-rain break allows temperatures to reach the lower end of guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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