High pressure and a warm southerly airmass over southern England suppressed overnight radiative cooling, anchoring Met Office and ensemble model guidance for a London minimum near 17 °C at the official London City Airport station on May 26. This setup produced the market’s near-certain 17 °C outcome by limiting heat loss under clear skies and light winds typical of the current heatwave pattern. Historical May overnight lows in London average 8–12 °C, so the elevated baseline reflects the anomalous southerly flow rather than typical spring conditions. Only a late forecast shift introducing stronger winds or unexpected cloud cover could have altered the reading, though no such change materialized in the final model runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLowest temperature in London on May 26?
Lowest temperature in London on May 26?
17°C 100%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$35,704 Vol.
$35,704 Vol.
26 mai 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
17°C 100%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$35,704 Vol.
$35,704 Vol.
26 mai 2026
13°C or below
$4,044 Vol.
No
14°C
$793 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,343 Vol.
No
16°C
$3,605 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,886 Vol.
Yes
18°C
$2,503 Vol.
No
19°C
$682 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,690 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,945 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,210 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$10,003 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.High pressure and a warm southerly airmass over southern England suppressed overnight radiative cooling, anchoring Met Office and ensemble model guidance for a London minimum near 17 °C at the official London City Airport station on May 26. This setup produced the market’s near-certain 17 °C outcome by limiting heat loss under clear skies and light winds typical of the current heatwave pattern. Historical May overnight lows in London average 8–12 °C, so the elevated baseline reflects the anomalous southerly flow rather than typical spring conditions. Only a late forecast shift introducing stronger winds or unexpected cloud cover could have altered the reading, though no such change materialized in the final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 22, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Volume
$35,704Date de fin
26 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 22, 2026, 12:36 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.High pressure and a warm southerly airmass over southern England suppressed overnight radiative cooling, anchoring Met Office and ensemble model guidance for a London minimum near 17 °C at the official London City Airport station on May 26. This setup produced the market’s near-certain 17 °C outcome by limiting heat loss under clear skies and light winds typical of the current heatwave pattern. Historical May overnight lows in London average 8–12 °C, so the elevated baseline reflects the anomalous southerly flow rather than typical spring conditions. Only a late forecast shift introducing stronger winds or unexpected cloud cover could have altered the reading, though no such change materialized in the final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,704Date de fin
26 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 22, 2026, 12:36 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
High pressure and a warm southerly airmass over southern England suppressed overnight radiative cooling, anchoring Met Office and ensemble model guidance for a London minimum near 17 °C at the official London City Airport station on May 26. This setup produced the market’s near-certain 17 °C outcome by limiting heat loss under clear skies and light winds typical of the current heatwave pattern. Historical May overnight lows in London average 8–12 °C, so the elevated baseline reflects the anomalous southerly flow rather than typical spring conditions. Only a late forecast shift introducing stronger winds or unexpected cloud cover could have altered the reading, though no such change materialized in the final model runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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