Ongoing monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers behind market-implied odds clustering around 25–27°C for Lucknow’s September 4 minimum, with 26°C at 54.5% leading narrowly. Light to moderate rain or thundershowers, tied to a low-pressure system, have kept recent overnight lows near or slightly below normal at 25–26°C while high humidity and light easterly winds limit radiative cooling. Official India Meteorological Department guidance projects a minimum near 25°C amid generally cloudy conditions, though timing of any showers could allow brief clearer periods that drop readings toward 24–25°C or keep them closer to 27°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against typical September baselines, where widespread cloud and moisture usually anchor minima in this narrow range. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will likely refine resolution odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Lucknow le 4 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Lucknow le 4 septembre ?
31°C ou plus 89%
21 °C ou moins 81%
24°C 81%
23°C 79%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 sept. 2026
21 °C ou moins
81%
22°C
13%
23°C
79%
24°C
81%
25°C
42%
26°C
54%
27°C
43%
28°C
79%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C ou plus
89%
31°C ou plus 89%
21 °C ou moins 81%
24°C 81%
23°C 79%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 sept. 2026
21 °C ou moins
$0 Vol.
81%
22°C
$0 Vol.
13%
23°C
$0 Vol.
79%
24°C
$0 Vol.
81%
25°C
$0 Vol.
42%
26°C
$0 Vol.
54%
27°C
$12 Vol.
43%
28°C
$0 Vol.
79%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
8%
31°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers behind market-implied odds clustering around 25–27°C for Lucknow’s September 4 minimum, with 26°C at 54.5% leading narrowly. Light to moderate rain or thundershowers, tied to a low-pressure system, have kept recent overnight lows near or slightly below normal at 25–26°C while high humidity and light easterly winds limit radiative cooling. Official India Meteorological Department guidance projects a minimum near 25°C amid generally cloudy conditions, though timing of any showers could allow brief clearer periods that drop readings toward 24–25°C or keep them closer to 27°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against typical September baselines, where widespread cloud and moisture usually anchor minima in this narrow range. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will likely refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$12Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers behind market-implied odds clustering around 25–27°C for Lucknow’s September 4 minimum, with 26°C at 54.5% leading narrowly. Light to moderate rain or thundershowers, tied to a low-pressure system, have kept recent overnight lows near or slightly below normal at 25–26°C while high humidity and light easterly winds limit radiative cooling. Official India Meteorological Department guidance projects a minimum near 25°C amid generally cloudy conditions, though timing of any showers could allow brief clearer periods that drop readings toward 24–25°C or keep them closer to 27°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against typical September baselines, where widespread cloud and moisture usually anchor minima in this narrow range. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will likely refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers behind market-implied odds clustering around 25–27°C for Lucknow’s September 4 minimum, with 26°C at 54.5% leading narrowly. Light to moderate rain or thundershowers, tied to a low-pressure system, have kept recent overnight lows near or slightly below normal at 25–26°C while high humidity and light easterly winds limit radiative cooling. Official India Meteorological Department guidance projects a minimum near 25°C amid generally cloudy conditions, though timing of any showers could allow brief clearer periods that drop readings toward 24–25°C or keep them closer to 27°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against typical September baselines, where widespread cloud and moisture usually anchor minima in this narrow range. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will likely refine resolution odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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