Trader sentiment positions 15°C as the frontrunner for Mexico City’s lowest temperature on September 5, reflecting National Meteorological Service data and ensemble model consensus showing stable subtropical high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. Recent surface observations from nearby stations indicate overnight lows in the 14–16°C range, consistent with September climatology where average minima hover near 12–14°C absent strong cold fronts. Model runs highlight minimal variability from urban heat island effects or localized cloud cover, though slight downward revisions could occur with final CONAGUA verification. Key resolution hinges on the official minimum recorded at the central observatory, with traders monitoring any late adjustments from microclimate differences.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Mexico le 5 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Mexico le 5 septembre ?
15°C 100%
7°C ou moins <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$1,282 Vol.
$1,282 Vol.
5 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
Non
8°C
Non
9°C
Non
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Oui
16°C
Non
17°C ou plus
Non
15°C 100%
7°C ou moins <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$1,282 Vol.
$1,282 Vol.
5 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
$20 Vol.
Non
8°C
$12 Vol.
Non
9°C
$57 Vol.
Non
10°C
$32 Vol.
Non
11°C
$37 Vol.
Non
12°C
$39 Vol.
Non
13°C
$37 Vol.
Non
14°C
$39 Vol.
Non
15°C
$209 Vol.
Oui
16°C
$694 Vol.
Non
17°C ou plus
$106 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment positions 15°C as the frontrunner for Mexico City’s lowest temperature on September 5, reflecting National Meteorological Service data and ensemble model consensus showing stable subtropical high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. Recent surface observations from nearby stations indicate overnight lows in the 14–16°C range, consistent with September climatology where average minima hover near 12–14°C absent strong cold fronts. Model runs highlight minimal variability from urban heat island effects or localized cloud cover, though slight downward revisions could occur with final CONAGUA verification. Key resolution hinges on the official minimum recorded at the central observatory, with traders monitoring any late adjustments from microclimate differences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,282Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment positions 15°C as the frontrunner for Mexico City’s lowest temperature on September 5, reflecting National Meteorological Service data and ensemble model consensus showing stable subtropical high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. Recent surface observations from nearby stations indicate overnight lows in the 14–16°C range, consistent with September climatology where average minima hover near 12–14°C absent strong cold fronts. Model runs highlight minimal variability from urban heat island effects or localized cloud cover, though slight downward revisions could occur with final CONAGUA verification. Key resolution hinges on the official minimum recorded at the central observatory, with traders monitoring any late adjustments from microclimate differences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,282Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader sentiment positions 15°C as the frontrunner for Mexico City’s lowest temperature on September 5, reflecting National Meteorological Service data and ensemble model consensus showing stable subtropical high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. Recent surface observations from nearby stations indicate overnight lows in the 14–16°C range, consistent with September climatology where average minima hover near 12–14°C absent strong cold fronts. Model runs highlight minimal variability from urban heat island effects or localized cloud cover, though slight downward revisions could occur with final CONAGUA verification. Key resolution hinges on the official minimum recorded at the central observatory, with traders monitoring any late adjustments from microclimate differences.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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