Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show stable high-pressure ridging over northern Italy, promoting clear skies and light northeasterly winds that favor radiational cooling overnight into August 23. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering near 16–18°C, aligning with the market’s tight distribution around those levels, as residual boundary-layer moisture from August 21 thunderstorms limits extreme cooling. Urban heat island effects in Milan add slight uncertainty to exact readings, while model spread reflects variability in cloud timing and wind speeds. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will further refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Milan le 23 août ?
17°C 27%
16°C 20%
20°C 20%
15°C 19%
13°C or below
9%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
20%
17°C
27%
18°C
19%
19°C
19%
20°C
20%
21°C
2%
22°C
19%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 27%
16°C 20%
20°C 20%
15°C 19%
13°C or below
9%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
20%
17°C
27%
18°C
19%
19°C
19%
20°C
20%
21°C
2%
22°C
19%
23°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show stable high-pressure ridging over northern Italy, promoting clear skies and light northeasterly winds that favor radiational cooling overnight into August 23. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering near 16–18°C, aligning with the market’s tight distribution around those levels, as residual boundary-layer moisture from August 21 thunderstorms limits extreme cooling. Urban heat island effects in Milan add slight uncertainty to exact readings, while model spread reflects variability in cloud timing and wind speeds. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will further refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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