Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds will drive Milan's minimum temperature on September 20 into the mid-to-upper teens Celsius, positioning 16°C as the market leader with 56% implied probability. Multiple ensemble runs show lows near 19°C early in the period but with potential for further drops if cloud cover remains minimal, supporting clustered probabilities around 12–16°C options near 44–45%. September climatology for Milan features average overnight minima of 15–18°C, providing historical context, while model consensus on stable high pressure and minimal advection limits upside risk above 17°C to negligible levels. Updated guidance from agencies like the Italian Meteorological Service or ECMWF will refine resolution thresholds as the night progresses.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Milan le 20 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Milan le 20 septembre ?
10°C ou moins 89%
11°C 89%
12°C 89%
13°C 89%
$2,687 Vol.
$2,687 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
89%
11°C
89%
12°C
89%
13°C
89%
14°C
88%
15°C
88%
16°C
-
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C ou plus
<1%
10°C ou moins 89%
11°C 89%
12°C 89%
13°C 89%
$2,687 Vol.
$2,687 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
89%
11°C
$0 Vol.
89%
12°C
$0 Vol.
89%
13°C
$0 Vol.
89%
14°C
$78 Vol.
88%
15°C
$73 Vol.
88%
16°C
$166 Vol.
-
17°C
$1,296 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,000 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
20°C ou plus
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds will drive Milan's minimum temperature on September 20 into the mid-to-upper teens Celsius, positioning 16°C as the market leader with 56% implied probability. Multiple ensemble runs show lows near 19°C early in the period but with potential for further drops if cloud cover remains minimal, supporting clustered probabilities around 12–16°C options near 44–45%. September climatology for Milan features average overnight minima of 15–18°C, providing historical context, while model consensus on stable high pressure and minimal advection limits upside risk above 17°C to negligible levels. Updated guidance from agencies like the Italian Meteorological Service or ECMWF will refine resolution thresholds as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,687Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds will drive Milan's minimum temperature on September 20 into the mid-to-upper teens Celsius, positioning 16°C as the market leader with 56% implied probability. Multiple ensemble runs show lows near 19°C early in the period but with potential for further drops if cloud cover remains minimal, supporting clustered probabilities around 12–16°C options near 44–45%. September climatology for Milan features average overnight minima of 15–18°C, providing historical context, while model consensus on stable high pressure and minimal advection limits upside risk above 17°C to negligible levels. Updated guidance from agencies like the Italian Meteorological Service or ECMWF will refine resolution thresholds as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,687Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds will drive Milan's minimum temperature on September 20 into the mid-to-upper teens Celsius, positioning 16°C as the market leader with 56% implied probability. Multiple ensemble runs show lows near 19°C early in the period but with potential for further drops if cloud cover remains minimal, supporting clustered probabilities around 12–16°C options near 44–45%. September climatology for Milan features average overnight minima of 15–18°C, providing historical context, while model consensus on stable high pressure and minimal advection limits upside risk above 17°C to negligible levels. Updated guidance from agencies like the Italian Meteorological Service or ECMWF will refine resolution thresholds as the night progresses.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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