Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF show Munich clearing after overnight showers on August 28–29, with a mild Atlantic air mass and light westerly flow limiting radiational cooling. This setup produces expected overnight lows clustered between 12–16 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Historical August minima near 12.7 °C provide context, while model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed explains the even distribution among 11 °C, 13 °C, 14 °C, 15 °C, and 16 °C contracts. Updated guidance ahead of dawn on the 29th will refine the precise minimum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Munich le 29 août ?
La température la plus basse à Munich le 29 août ?
16°C 48%
15°C 47%
14°C 28%
13°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
26%
12°C
11%
13°C
26%
14°C
28%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 48%
15°C 47%
14°C 28%
13°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
10°C or below
$246 Vol.
1%
11°C
$35 Vol.
26%
12°C
$26 Vol.
11%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
28%
15°C
$64 Vol.
27%
16°C
$67 Vol.
26%
17°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF show Munich clearing after overnight showers on August 28–29, with a mild Atlantic air mass and light westerly flow limiting radiational cooling. This setup produces expected overnight lows clustered between 12–16 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Historical August minima near 12.7 °C provide context, while model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed explains the even distribution among 11 °C, 13 °C, 14 °C, 15 °C, and 16 °C contracts. Updated guidance ahead of dawn on the 29th will refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$592Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF show Munich clearing after overnight showers on August 28–29, with a mild Atlantic air mass and light westerly flow limiting radiational cooling. This setup produces expected overnight lows clustered between 12–16 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Historical August minima near 12.7 °C provide context, while model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed explains the even distribution among 11 °C, 13 °C, 14 °C, 15 °C, and 16 °C contracts. Updated guidance ahead of dawn on the 29th will refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$592Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF show Munich clearing after overnight showers on August 28–29, with a mild Atlantic air mass and light westerly flow limiting radiational cooling. This setup produces expected overnight lows clustered between 12–16 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Historical August minima near 12.7 °C provide context, while model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed explains the even distribution among 11 °C, 13 °C, 14 °C, 15 °C, and 16 °C contracts. Updated guidance ahead of dawn on the 29th will refine the precise minimum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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