**Current forecasts indicate Munich's overnight low on September 3 will likely settle near 13–14°C, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds (14°C at 34.5%, 13°C at 33.5%, 11°C or below at 30%).** This range reflects the typical early-September climatological minimum of about 12°C, with models showing modest radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 2–5 m/s, and dew points near 11–12°C that limit further drops. Ensemble guidance from sources such as GFS and ECMWF exhibits limited spread around these values, with slight variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing able to shift the realized minimum by 1–2°C. A stronger nocturnal inversion or clearer conditions could push readings toward 11°C or below, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind would favor the 15°C outcome. The market's tight clustering around 13–14°C therefore captures the current model consensus and the inherent uncertainty in precisely resolving the overnight minimum just two days ahead.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Munich le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Munich le 3 septembre ?
14°C 41%
13°C 36%
11°C or below 31%
15°C 24%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
11°C or below
31%
12°C
21%
13°C
36%
14°C
41%
15°C
24%
16°C
5%
17°C
5%
18°C
15%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C or higher
7%
14°C 41%
13°C 36%
11°C or below 31%
15°C 24%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
11°C or below
$26 Vol.
31%
12°C
$0 Vol.
21%
13°C
$0 Vol.
36%
14°C
$0 Vol.
41%
15°C
$0 Vol.
24%
16°C
$30 Vol.
5%
17°C
$100 Vol.
5%
18°C
$0 Vol.
15%
19°C
$0 Vol.
3%
20°C
$0 Vol.
7%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts indicate Munich's overnight low on September 3 will likely settle near 13–14°C, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds (14°C at 34.5%, 13°C at 33.5%, 11°C or below at 30%).**
This range reflects the typical early-September climatological minimum of about 12°C, with models showing modest radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 2–5 m/s, and dew points near 11–12°C that limit further drops. Ensemble guidance from sources such as GFS and ECMWF exhibits limited spread around these values, with slight variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing able to shift the realized minimum by 1–2°C.
A stronger nocturnal inversion or clearer conditions could push readings toward 11°C or below, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind would favor the 15°C outcome. The market's tight clustering around 13–14°C therefore captures the current model consensus and the inherent uncertainty in precisely resolving the overnight minimum just two days ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$156Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts indicate Munich's overnight low on September 3 will likely settle near 13–14°C, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds (14°C at 34.5%, 13°C at 33.5%, 11°C or below at 30%).**
This range reflects the typical early-September climatological minimum of about 12°C, with models showing modest radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 2–5 m/s, and dew points near 11–12°C that limit further drops. Ensemble guidance from sources such as GFS and ECMWF exhibits limited spread around these values, with slight variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing able to shift the realized minimum by 1–2°C.
A stronger nocturnal inversion or clearer conditions could push readings toward 11°C or below, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind would favor the 15°C outcome. The market's tight clustering around 13–14°C therefore captures the current model consensus and the inherent uncertainty in precisely resolving the overnight minimum just two days ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$156Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts indicate Munich's overnight low on September 3 will likely settle near 13–14°C, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds (14°C at 34.5%, 13°C at 33.5%, 11°C or below at 30%).** This range reflects the typical early-September climatological minimum of about 12°C, with models showing modest radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 2–5 m/s, and dew points near 11–12°C that limit further drops. Ensemble guidance from sources such as GFS and ECMWF exhibits limited spread around these values, with slight variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing able to shift the realized minimum by 1–2°C. A stronger nocturnal inversion or clearer conditions could push readings toward 11°C or below, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind would favor the 15°C outcome. The market's tight clustering around 13–14°C therefore captures the current model consensus and the inherent uncertainty in precisely resolving the overnight minimum just two days ahead.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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