Trader consensus on Polymarket's closely matched leading outcomes—64-65°F (34.5%), 66-67°F (26.1%), and 70-71°F (25.4%)—mirrors National Weather Service guidance and forecast model spread for LaGuardia Airport's (KLGA) overnight low on April 15 amid a potent upper-level ridge ushering warm southerly flow. The April 13 minimum of 49°F at Central Park marked the transition from cooler air, with 850 hPa temperatures climbing to 15-16°C per recent GFS and ECMWF runs, limiting radiative cooling under light winds. Differentiation stems from model disagreements: GFS favors clearer skies overnight for enhanced cooling toward 62-65°F, while ECMWF anticipates partial cloudiness preserving mid-to-upper 60s; genuine uncertainty persists ahead of this afternoon's NWS forecast update and evening observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 15 avril ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 15 avril ?
64-65 °F 49%
62-63°F 11%
66-67 °F 8.3%
68-69°F 3.4%
NOUVEAU
$18,687 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$18,687 Vol.
16 avr. 2026
59°F ou moins
2%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
11%
64-65 °F
35%
66-67 °F
8%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78°F ou plus
1%
64-65 °F 49%
62-63°F 11%
66-67 °F 8.3%
68-69°F 3.4%
NOUVEAU
$18,687 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$18,687 Vol.
16 avr. 2026
59°F ou moins
$2,333 Vol.
2%
60-61°F
$1,384 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$1,314 Vol.
11%
64-65 °F
$2,394 Vol.
35%
66-67 °F
$2,601 Vol.
8%
68-69°F
$1,344 Vol.
3%
70-71°F
$593 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$759 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$787 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$934 Vol.
1%
78°F ou plus
$5,350 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket's closely matched leading outcomes—64-65°F (34.5%), 66-67°F (26.1%), and 70-71°F (25.4%)—mirrors National Weather Service guidance and forecast model spread for LaGuardia Airport's (KLGA) overnight low on April 15 amid a potent upper-level ridge ushering warm southerly flow. The April 13 minimum of 49°F at Central Park marked the transition from cooler air, with 850 hPa temperatures climbing to 15-16°C per recent GFS and ECMWF runs, limiting radiative cooling under light winds. Differentiation stems from model disagreements: GFS favors clearer skies overnight for enhanced cooling toward 62-65°F, while ECMWF anticipates partial cloudiness preserving mid-to-upper 60s; genuine uncertainty persists ahead of this afternoon's NWS forecast update and evening observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$18,687Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket's closely matched leading outcomes—64-65°F (34.5%), 66-67°F (26.1%), and 70-71°F (25.4%)—mirrors National Weather Service guidance and forecast model spread for LaGuardia Airport's (KLGA) overnight low on April 15 amid a potent upper-level ridge ushering warm southerly flow. The April 13 minimum of 49°F at Central Park marked the transition from cooler air, with 850 hPa temperatures climbing to 15-16°C per recent GFS and ECMWF runs, limiting radiative cooling under light winds. Differentiation stems from model disagreements: GFS favors clearer skies overnight for enhanced cooling toward 62-65°F, while ECMWF anticipates partial cloudiness preserving mid-to-upper 60s; genuine uncertainty persists ahead of this afternoon's NWS forecast update and evening observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,687Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's closely matched leading outcomes—64-65°F (34.5%), 66-67°F (26.1%), and 70-71°F (25.4%)—mirrors National Weather Service guidance and forecast model spread for LaGuardia Airport's (KLGA) overnight low on April 15 amid a potent upper-level ridge ushering warm southerly flow. The April 13 minimum of 49°F at Central Park marked the transition from cooler air, with 850 hPa temperatures climbing to 15-16°C per recent GFS and ECMWF runs, limiting radiative cooling under light winds. Differentiation stems from model disagreements: GFS favors clearer skies overnight for enhanced cooling toward 62-65°F, while ECMWF anticipates partial cloudiness preserving mid-to-upper 60s; genuine uncertainty persists ahead of this afternoon's NWS forecast update and evening observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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