Latest numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, indicate Paris will experience mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and possible patchy drizzle overnight into September 17, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 12–13 °C. This places the 12 °C outcome at the center of trader consensus (49 % implied probability), followed by 11 °C and 13 °C, consistent with the historical September climatological average low of 11.4 °C and limited radiative cooling under cloud cover. Model agreement remains high with only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, while any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings near 11 °C; final resolution will depend on the official Météo-France observation at the Paris-Montsouris station early on the 17th.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Paris le 17 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Paris le 17 septembre ?
12°C 49%
13°C 23%
11°C 21%
14°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
3%
9°C
3%
10°C
7%
11°C
21%
12°C
49%
13°C
23%
14°C
8%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C ou plus
2%
12°C 49%
13°C 23%
11°C 21%
14°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
3%
9°C
$0 Vol.
3%
10°C
$169 Vol.
7%
11°C
$432 Vol.
21%
12°C
$472 Vol.
49%
13°C
$323 Vol.
23%
14°C
$0 Vol.
8%
15°C
$0 Vol.
2%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, indicate Paris will experience mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and possible patchy drizzle overnight into September 17, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 12–13 °C. This places the 12 °C outcome at the center of trader consensus (49 % implied probability), followed by 11 °C and 13 °C, consistent with the historical September climatological average low of 11.4 °C and limited radiative cooling under cloud cover. Model agreement remains high with only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, while any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings near 11 °C; final resolution will depend on the official Météo-France observation at the Paris-Montsouris station early on the 17th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,396Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, indicate Paris will experience mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and possible patchy drizzle overnight into September 17, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 12–13 °C. This places the 12 °C outcome at the center of trader consensus (49 % implied probability), followed by 11 °C and 13 °C, consistent with the historical September climatological average low of 11.4 °C and limited radiative cooling under cloud cover. Model agreement remains high with only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, while any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings near 11 °C; final resolution will depend on the official Météo-France observation at the Paris-Montsouris station early on the 17th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,396Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, indicate Paris will experience mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and possible patchy drizzle overnight into September 17, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 12–13 °C. This places the 12 °C outcome at the center of trader consensus (49 % implied probability), followed by 11 °C and 13 °C, consistent with the historical September climatological average low of 11.4 °C and limited radiative cooling under cloud cover. Model agreement remains high with only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, while any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings near 11 °C; final resolution will depend on the official Météo-France observation at the Paris-Montsouris station early on the 17th.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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