Recent northerly wind shifts, replacing southeasterly flow, are the main driver lowering overnight minima in Qingdao on August 29 by advecting cooler, drier air from higher latitudes amid the seasonal transition. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a minimum near 23–24°C, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover potentially limiting radiative cooling and keeping values from dropping further. Historical August averages hover around 22°C, but persistent warmth through August 28 has left traders weighting 22–23°C outcomes highest while assigning meaningful probability to 21°C or below if stronger winds enhance mixing or if precipitation is lighter than expected. Model runs and local observations will clarify resolution thresholds as the night progresses.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Qingdao le 29 août ?
La température la plus basse à Qingdao le 29 août ?
22°C 40%
21°C 32%
20°C or below 23%
28°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
20°C or below
23%
21°C
32%
22°C
40%
23°C
49%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 40%
21°C 32%
20°C or below 23%
28°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
20°C or below
$59 Vol.
23%
21°C
$49 Vol.
32%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C
$13 Vol.
49%
24°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$210 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$53 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly wind shifts, replacing southeasterly flow, are the main driver lowering overnight minima in Qingdao on August 29 by advecting cooler, drier air from higher latitudes amid the seasonal transition. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a minimum near 23–24°C, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover potentially limiting radiative cooling and keeping values from dropping further. Historical August averages hover around 22°C, but persistent warmth through August 28 has left traders weighting 22–23°C outcomes highest while assigning meaningful probability to 21°C or below if stronger winds enhance mixing or if precipitation is lighter than expected. Model runs and local observations will clarify resolution thresholds as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$645Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly wind shifts, replacing southeasterly flow, are the main driver lowering overnight minima in Qingdao on August 29 by advecting cooler, drier air from higher latitudes amid the seasonal transition. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a minimum near 23–24°C, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover potentially limiting radiative cooling and keeping values from dropping further. Historical August averages hover around 22°C, but persistent warmth through August 28 has left traders weighting 22–23°C outcomes highest while assigning meaningful probability to 21°C or below if stronger winds enhance mixing or if precipitation is lighter than expected. Model runs and local observations will clarify resolution thresholds as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$645Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly wind shifts, replacing southeasterly flow, are the main driver lowering overnight minima in Qingdao on August 29 by advecting cooler, drier air from higher latitudes amid the seasonal transition. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a minimum near 23–24°C, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover potentially limiting radiative cooling and keeping values from dropping further. Historical August averages hover around 22°C, but persistent warmth through August 28 has left traders weighting 22–23°C outcomes highest while assigning meaningful probability to 21°C or below if stronger winds enhance mixing or if precipitation is lighter than expected. Model runs and local observations will clarify resolution thresholds as the night progresses.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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