**Official KMA guidance points to a 24°C minimum for Seoul-Incheon on August 11 under clear skies and light winds, which supports the market’s tight clustering around 23–25°C.** The Korea Meteorological Administration’s short-range forecast explicitly lists a 24°C overnight low for Tuesday, August 11, with 0% precipitation probability and maximums near 34°C. This aligns with typical late-summer radiative cooling under clear conditions, when calm winds and low humidity allow surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset. Ensemble models show modest spread in the exact minimum, reflecting small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and any thin high clouds that could limit cooling, which explains why 25°C and 23°C hold substantial shares. With resolution based on the official Incheon station reading, traders are closely tracking the next KMA update and any shifts in regional pressure patterns that could alter overnight wind or cloud cover.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Séoul (Incheon) le 11 août ?
24°C 32%
25°C 32%
23°C 20%
22°C 6%
18°C ou moins
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
26%
24°C
32%
25°C
32%
26°C
5%
27°C
6%
28°C ou plus
1%
24°C 32%
25°C 32%
23°C 20%
22°C 6%
18°C ou moins
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
26%
24°C
32%
25°C
32%
26°C
5%
27°C
6%
28°C ou plus
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official KMA guidance points to a 24°C minimum for Seoul-Incheon on August 11 under clear skies and light winds, which supports the market’s tight clustering around 23–25°C.** The Korea Meteorological Administration’s short-range forecast explicitly lists a 24°C overnight low for Tuesday, August 11, with 0% precipitation probability and maximums near 34°C. This aligns with typical late-summer radiative cooling under clear conditions, when calm winds and low humidity allow surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset. Ensemble models show modest spread in the exact minimum, reflecting small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and any thin high clouds that could limit cooling, which explains why 25°C and 23°C hold substantial shares. With resolution based on the official Incheon station reading, traders are closely tracking the next KMA update and any shifts in regional pressure patterns that could alter overnight wind or cloud cover.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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