Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo’s overnight low reaching 22°C on August 11 under a persistent Pacific High, increased cloud cover, and rising humidity that limits radiational cooling. This places the reading slightly below the long-term August minimum of 23.7°C. Model consensus across official sources has converged on this threshold, with only minor 1°C variations possible from shifts in cloud timing or precipitation timing. Traders have priced in near-certainty because resolution hinges on verified station observations rather than forecasts, and current conditions leave little room for the low to deviate meaningfully. Clearer skies or drier air could theoretically allow an extra degree of cooling, though latest guidance shows no such development.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 11 août ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 11 août ?
22°C 100%
18°C ou moins <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$16,125 Vol.
$16,125 Vol.
11 août 2026
18°C ou moins
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Oui
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C ou plus
Non
22°C 100%
18°C ou moins <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$16,125 Vol.
$16,125 Vol.
11 août 2026
18°C ou moins
$323 Vol.
Non
19°C
$1,045 Vol.
Non
20°C
$1,489 Vol.
Non
21°C
$1,701 Vol.
Non
22°C
$3,460 Vol.
Oui
23°C
$4,108 Vol.
Non
24°C
$1,330 Vol.
Non
25°C
$557 Vol.
Non
26°C
$1,023 Vol.
Non
27°C
$678 Vol.
Non
28°C ou plus
$410 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo’s overnight low reaching 22°C on August 11 under a persistent Pacific High, increased cloud cover, and rising humidity that limits radiational cooling. This places the reading slightly below the long-term August minimum of 23.7°C. Model consensus across official sources has converged on this threshold, with only minor 1°C variations possible from shifts in cloud timing or precipitation timing. Traders have priced in near-certainty because resolution hinges on verified station observations rather than forecasts, and current conditions leave little room for the low to deviate meaningfully. Clearer skies or drier air could theoretically allow an extra degree of cooling, though latest guidance shows no such development.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$16,125Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo’s overnight low reaching 22°C on August 11 under a persistent Pacific High, increased cloud cover, and rising humidity that limits radiational cooling. This places the reading slightly below the long-term August minimum of 23.7°C. Model consensus across official sources has converged on this threshold, with only minor 1°C variations possible from shifts in cloud timing or precipitation timing. Traders have priced in near-certainty because resolution hinges on verified station observations rather than forecasts, and current conditions leave little room for the low to deviate meaningfully. Clearer skies or drier air could theoretically allow an extra degree of cooling, though latest guidance shows no such development.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,125Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo’s overnight low reaching 22°C on August 11 under a persistent Pacific High, increased cloud cover, and rising humidity that limits radiational cooling. This places the reading slightly below the long-term August minimum of 23.7°C. Model consensus across official sources has converged on this threshold, with only minor 1°C variations possible from shifts in cloud timing or precipitation timing. Traders have priced in near-certainty because resolution hinges on verified station observations rather than forecasts, and current conditions leave little room for the low to deviate meaningfully. Clearer skies or drier air could theoretically allow an extra degree of cooling, though latest guidance shows no such development.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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