Latest forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service indicate an overnight low near 26–27°C for Tel Aviv on August 22, driven by typical late-summer conditions: partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating, light westerly winds, and elevated nocturnal humidity that slows radiative cooling. Sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Mediterranean remain around 29–30°C, moderating the diurnal range while preventing sharper drops. Traders assign comparable implied probabilities across mid-20s and extreme bins because small model discrepancies in cloud cover or wind speed can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, with historical August lows averaging near 24°C but recent nights running warmer. Final resolution will depend on official station readings after midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tel Aviv le 22 août ?
22°C or below 63%
32°C or higher 39.5%
28°C 28%
26°C 26%
22°C or below
63%
23°C
3%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
28%
29°C
6%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
39%
22°C or below 63%
32°C or higher 39.5%
28°C 28%
26°C 26%
22°C or below
63%
23°C
3%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
28%
29°C
6%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service indicate an overnight low near 26–27°C for Tel Aviv on August 22, driven by typical late-summer conditions: partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating, light westerly winds, and elevated nocturnal humidity that slows radiative cooling. Sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Mediterranean remain around 29–30°C, moderating the diurnal range while preventing sharper drops. Traders assign comparable implied probabilities across mid-20s and extreme bins because small model discrepancies in cloud cover or wind speed can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, with historical August lows averaging near 24°C but recent nights running warmer. Final resolution will depend on official station readings after midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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