Recent forecasts from global models indicate typical summer conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, with high pressure and light winds favoring overnight lows near 25–26°C in Tel Aviv on August 23. These values align with climatological August minima of 24–26°C, where sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C and urban heat-island effects limit further cooling. Small forecast spreads arise from minor differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; stronger onshore flow or increased humidity could suppress the minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer skies might allow it to reach 27°C. With market-implied odds clustered tightly around the 23–27°C range, traders are pricing the inherent uncertainty in 48-hour mesoscale model runs rather than any anomalous synoptic shift.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tel Aviv le 23 août ?
La température la plus basse à Tel Aviv le 23 août ?
31°C or higher 24.6%
24°C 19%
25°C 19%
27°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
21°C or below
7%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
19%
26°C
30%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
25%
31°C or higher 24.6%
24°C 19%
25°C 19%
27°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
21°C or below
$27 Vol.
7%
22°C
$27 Vol.
19%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
19%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$0 Vol.
30%
27°C
$0 Vol.
19%
28°C
$0 Vol.
19%
29°C
$25 Vol.
8%
30°C
$25 Vol.
8%
31°C or higher
$27 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate typical summer conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, with high pressure and light winds favoring overnight lows near 25–26°C in Tel Aviv on August 23. These values align with climatological August minima of 24–26°C, where sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C and urban heat-island effects limit further cooling. Small forecast spreads arise from minor differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; stronger onshore flow or increased humidity could suppress the minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer skies might allow it to reach 27°C. With market-implied odds clustered tightly around the 23–27°C range, traders are pricing the inherent uncertainty in 48-hour mesoscale model runs rather than any anomalous synoptic shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$131Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate typical summer conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, with high pressure and light winds favoring overnight lows near 25–26°C in Tel Aviv on August 23. These values align with climatological August minima of 24–26°C, where sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C and urban heat-island effects limit further cooling. Small forecast spreads arise from minor differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; stronger onshore flow or increased humidity could suppress the minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer skies might allow it to reach 27°C. With market-implied odds clustered tightly around the 23–27°C range, traders are pricing the inherent uncertainty in 48-hour mesoscale model runs rather than any anomalous synoptic shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$131Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models indicate typical summer conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, with high pressure and light winds favoring overnight lows near 25–26°C in Tel Aviv on August 23. These values align with climatological August minima of 24–26°C, where sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C and urban heat-island effects limit further cooling. Small forecast spreads arise from minor differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; stronger onshore flow or increased humidity could suppress the minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer skies might allow it to reach 27°C. With market-implied odds clustered tightly around the 23–27°C range, traders are pricing the inherent uncertainty in 48-hour mesoscale model runs rather than any anomalous synoptic shift.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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