Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo’s overnight minimum on August 28 likely falling between 24–26 °C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light northeasterly flow that limits radiational cooling. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 25–28 °C outcomes. Differentiating factors include the precise timing and intensity of any rain-cooled air mass, which could drop the minimum toward 22 °C or below if heavier nocturnal showers develop, versus clearer breaks that might allow readings near or above 29 °C. Short-range ensemble spread remains moderate, reflecting typical uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention two days out.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 28 août ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 28 août ?
25°C 46%
26°C 36%
24°C 30%
27°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
28 août 2026
22°C or below
5%
23°C
27%
24°C
30%
25°C
46%
26°C
36%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
5%
30°C
5%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
6%
25°C 46%
26°C 36%
24°C 30%
27°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
28 août 2026
22°C or below
$22 Vol.
5%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$16 Vol.
30%
25°C
$0 Vol.
46%
26°C
$0 Vol.
36%
27°C
$0 Vol.
28%
28°C
$0 Vol.
27%
29°C
$22 Vol.
5%
30°C
$22 Vol.
5%
31°C
$22 Vol.
5%
32°C or higher
$42 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo’s overnight minimum on August 28 likely falling between 24–26 °C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light northeasterly flow that limits radiational cooling. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 25–28 °C outcomes. Differentiating factors include the precise timing and intensity of any rain-cooled air mass, which could drop the minimum toward 22 °C or below if heavier nocturnal showers develop, versus clearer breaks that might allow readings near or above 29 °C. Short-range ensemble spread remains moderate, reflecting typical uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$145Date de fin
28 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo’s overnight minimum on August 28 likely falling between 24–26 °C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light northeasterly flow that limits radiational cooling. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 25–28 °C outcomes. Differentiating factors include the precise timing and intensity of any rain-cooled air mass, which could drop the minimum toward 22 °C or below if heavier nocturnal showers develop, versus clearer breaks that might allow readings near or above 29 °C. Short-range ensemble spread remains moderate, reflecting typical uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$145Date de fin
28 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo’s overnight minimum on August 28 likely falling between 24–26 °C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light northeasterly flow that limits radiational cooling. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 25–28 °C outcomes. Differentiating factors include the precise timing and intensity of any rain-cooled air mass, which could drop the minimum toward 22 °C or below if heavier nocturnal showers develop, versus clearer breaks that might allow readings near or above 29 °C. Short-range ensemble spread remains moderate, reflecting typical uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention two days out.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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