**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 19°C minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 10, driven by consensus forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and numerical models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that level under persistent cloud cover and light rain.** Northerly flow and high humidity have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further despite the season's typical September baseline of around 20°C. Recent observations through the evening confirm readings hovering in the 18–20°C range, aligning with the dominant outcome. Only a rapid clearing of skies or unexpected dry slot could allow greater nocturnal cooling and shift the result toward 18°C or lower, though current conditions make such a deviation unlikely before final station readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 10 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 10 septembre ?
19°C 100.0%
14°C ou moins <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$11,761 Vol.
$11,761 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Oui
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C ou plus
Non
19°C 100.0%
14°C ou moins <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$11,761 Vol.
$11,761 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
$94 Vol.
Non
15°C
$732 Vol.
Non
16°C
$2,598 Vol.
Non
17°C
$690 Vol.
Non
18°C
$975 Vol.
Non
19°C
$2,269 Vol.
Oui
20°C
$2,424 Vol.
Non
21°C
$1,098 Vol.
Non
22°C
$316 Vol.
Non
23°C
$323 Vol.
Non
24°C ou plus
$241 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 19°C minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 10, driven by consensus forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and numerical models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that level under persistent cloud cover and light rain.** Northerly flow and high humidity have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further despite the season's typical September baseline of around 20°C. Recent observations through the evening confirm readings hovering in the 18–20°C range, aligning with the dominant outcome. Only a rapid clearing of skies or unexpected dry slot could allow greater nocturnal cooling and shift the result toward 18°C or lower, though current conditions make such a deviation unlikely before final station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$11,761Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 19°C minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 10, driven by consensus forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and numerical models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that level under persistent cloud cover and light rain.** Northerly flow and high humidity have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further despite the season's typical September baseline of around 20°C. Recent observations through the evening confirm readings hovering in the 18–20°C range, aligning with the dominant outcome. Only a rapid clearing of skies or unexpected dry slot could allow greater nocturnal cooling and shift the result toward 18°C or lower, though current conditions make such a deviation unlikely before final station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,761Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 19°C minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 10, driven by consensus forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and numerical models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that level under persistent cloud cover and light rain.** Northerly flow and high humidity have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further despite the season's typical September baseline of around 20°C. Recent observations through the evening confirm readings hovering in the 18–20°C range, aligning with the dominant outcome. Only a rapid clearing of skies or unexpected dry slot could allow greater nocturnal cooling and shift the result toward 18°C or lower, though current conditions make such a deviation unlikely before final station readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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