**Trader consensus strongly favors 19°C as Tokyo’s lowest temperature on September 11, 2026, with 99% implied probability.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs project a nighttime minimum near 19°C under persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and periods of rain that limit radiational cooling while maintaining high humidity near 90%. This aligns with the seasonal September average low of approximately 20°C and recent observations showing overnight readings stabilizing in the 19–20°C range. The outcome reflects the wisdom of crowds aggregating real-time meteorological data rather than a guarantee. A sudden late-evening clearing or stronger northerly advection could nudge the minimum slightly lower, while delayed rain or warmer boundary-layer air might keep it at or above 20°C; resolution depends on the official Tokyo station reading.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 11 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 11 septembre ?
19°C 100.0%
14°C ou moins <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$7,813 Vol.
$7,813 Vol.
11 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Oui
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C ou plus
Non
19°C 100.0%
14°C ou moins <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$7,813 Vol.
$7,813 Vol.
11 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
$86 Vol.
Non
15°C
$107 Vol.
Non
16°C
$467 Vol.
Non
17°C
$501 Vol.
Non
18°C
$2,510 Vol.
Non
19°C
$1,282 Vol.
Oui
20°C
$2,379 Vol.
Non
21°C
$127 Vol.
Non
22°C
$72 Vol.
Non
23°C
$191 Vol.
Non
24°C ou plus
$91 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 19°C as Tokyo’s lowest temperature on September 11, 2026, with 99% implied probability.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs project a nighttime minimum near 19°C under persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and periods of rain that limit radiational cooling while maintaining high humidity near 90%. This aligns with the seasonal September average low of approximately 20°C and recent observations showing overnight readings stabilizing in the 19–20°C range. The outcome reflects the wisdom of crowds aggregating real-time meteorological data rather than a guarantee. A sudden late-evening clearing or stronger northerly advection could nudge the minimum slightly lower, while delayed rain or warmer boundary-layer air might keep it at or above 20°C; resolution depends on the official Tokyo station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$7,813Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 19°C as Tokyo’s lowest temperature on September 11, 2026, with 99% implied probability.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs project a nighttime minimum near 19°C under persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and periods of rain that limit radiational cooling while maintaining high humidity near 90%. This aligns with the seasonal September average low of approximately 20°C and recent observations showing overnight readings stabilizing in the 19–20°C range. The outcome reflects the wisdom of crowds aggregating real-time meteorological data rather than a guarantee. A sudden late-evening clearing or stronger northerly advection could nudge the minimum slightly lower, while delayed rain or warmer boundary-layer air might keep it at or above 20°C; resolution depends on the official Tokyo station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,813Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Trader consensus strongly favors 19°C as Tokyo’s lowest temperature on September 11, 2026, with 99% implied probability.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs project a nighttime minimum near 19°C under persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and periods of rain that limit radiational cooling while maintaining high humidity near 90%. This aligns with the seasonal September average low of approximately 20°C and recent observations showing overnight readings stabilizing in the 19–20°C range. The outcome reflects the wisdom of crowds aggregating real-time meteorological data rather than a guarantee. A sudden late-evening clearing or stronger northerly advection could nudge the minimum slightly lower, while delayed rain or warmer boundary-layer air might keep it at or above 20°C; resolution depends on the official Tokyo station reading.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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