French President Emmanuel Macron's April 24 announcement that he will exit politics entirely after his second term ends in May 2027 reinforces trader consensus against an early departure, with odds implying just a 1% chance of him leaving office by June 30. This follows the government's survival of multiple no-confidence votes in January and February over the 2026 budget and EU-MERCOSUR trade tensions, culminating in budget passage that eased prior instability from the hung parliament post-2024 snap legislative elections. Amid ongoing minority government challenges and fragmented National Assembly dynamics, no recent catalysts signal resignation, impeachment, or snap presidential polls, though a major scandal or coalition collapse could shift sentiment ahead of the April 2027 presidential election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1,956,740 Vol.
30 juin 2026
30 juin 2026
1%
$1,956,740 Vol.
30 juin 2026
$364,896 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron's April 24 announcement that he will exit politics entirely after his second term ends in May 2027 reinforces trader consensus against an early departure, with odds implying just a 1% chance of him leaving office by June 30. This follows the government's survival of multiple no-confidence votes in January and February over the 2026 budget and EU-MERCOSUR trade tensions, culminating in budget passage that eased prior instability from the hung parliament post-2024 snap legislative elections. Amid ongoing minority government challenges and fragmented National Assembly dynamics, no recent catalysts signal resignation, impeachment, or snap presidential polls, though a major scandal or coalition collapse could shift sentiment ahead of the April 2027 presidential election.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
Volume
$1,956,740Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron's April 24 announcement that he will exit politics entirely after his second term ends in May 2027 reinforces trader consensus against an early departure, with odds implying just a 1% chance of him leaving office by June 30. This follows the government's survival of multiple no-confidence votes in January and February over the 2026 budget and EU-MERCOSUR trade tensions, culminating in budget passage that eased prior instability from the hung parliament post-2024 snap legislative elections. Amid ongoing minority government challenges and fragmented National Assembly dynamics, no recent catalysts signal resignation, impeachment, or snap presidential polls, though a major scandal or coalition collapse could shift sentiment ahead of the April 2027 presidential election.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,956,740Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...French President Emmanuel Macron's April 24 announcement that he will exit politics entirely after his second term ends in May 2027 reinforces trader consensus against an early departure, with odds implying just a 1% chance of him leaving office by June 30. This follows the government's survival of multiple no-confidence votes in January and February over the 2026 budget and EU-MERCOSUR trade tensions, culminating in budget passage that eased prior instability from the hung parliament post-2024 snap legislative elections. Amid ongoing minority government challenges and fragmented National Assembly dynamics, no recent catalysts signal resignation, impeachment, or snap presidential polls, though a major scandal or coalition collapse could shift sentiment ahead of the April 2027 presidential election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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