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Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso do Sul

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso do Sul
Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso do Sul

Économiste Renato Gomes 40%

João Henrique Catan 40%

Fábio Trad 39%

Eduardo Riedel 39%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Économiste Renato Gomes 40%

João Henrique Catan 40%

Fábio Trad 39%

Eduardo Riedel 39%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Économiste Renato Gomes

Économiste Renato Gomes

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for João Henrique Catan

João Henrique Catan

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Fábio Trad

Fábio Trad

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Eduardo Riedel

Eduardo Riedel

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Daniel Lemes

Daniel Lemes

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Delcidio Amaral

Delcidio Amaral

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Jeferson Bezerra

Jeferson Bezerra

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Lucien Rezende

Lucien Rezende

$0 Vol.

38%

The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The closely matched probabilities in the Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial race reflect a fragmented field of eight confirmed candidates ahead of the October 2026 vote, with the incumbent Eduardo Riedel (PP) holding a polling edge but facing viable opposition from Fábio Trad (PT), João Henrique Catan (NOVO), and others. Recent party conventions and candidate registrations have sustained this dispersion, as no single contender has consolidated broad support or triggered major shifts in voter intentions. Upcoming polling releases, coalition formations, and first-round debate performances could widen gaps by clarifying frontrunner viability or boosting lesser-known names, while the absence of decisive late momentum keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched across the board.

The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The closely matched probabilities in the Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial race reflect a fragmented field of eight confirmed candidates ahead of the October 2026 vote, with the incumbent Eduardo Riedel (PP) holding a polling edge but facing viable opposition from Fábio Trad (PT), João Henrique Catan (NOVO), and others. Recent party conventions and candidate registrations have sustained this dispersion, as no single contender has consolidated broad support or triggered major shifts in voter intentions. Upcoming polling releases, coalition formations, and first-round debate performances could widen gaps by clarifying frontrunner viability or boosting lesser-known names, while the absence of decisive late momentum keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched across the board.

The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Le Sargento Laudicério va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso en 2026 ?

Le Sargento Laudicério va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso en 2026 ?

46%
Oui
icon for Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

61%
icon for Daniel Junior remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso do Sul ?

Daniel Junior remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso do Sul ?

44%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso do Sul » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Économiste Renato Gomes » à 40%, suivi de « João Henrique Catan » à 40%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 40¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 40% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso do Sul » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso do Sul », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso do Sul » est « Économiste Renato Gomes » à 40%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 40% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « João Henrique Catan » à 40%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso do Sul » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.