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icon for Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner
Politique·Brésil

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

icon for Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner
Politique·Brésil

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

Luciano Zucco 60%

Juliana Brizola 35%

Gabriel Souza 2.8%

Marcelo Maranata <1%

Polymarket

$104,141 Vol.

Luciano Zucco 60%

Juliana Brizola 35%

Gabriel Souza 2.8%

Marcelo Maranata <1%

Polymarket

$104,141 Vol.

Luciano Zucco

$47,892 Vol.

60%

Juliana Brizola

$35,625 Vol.

35%

Gabriel Souza

$10,508 Vol.

3%

Marcelo Maranata

$7,151 Vol.

1%

Luis Carlos Heinze

$2,966 Vol.

<1%

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Real Time Big Data and other institutes shows Luciano Zucco (PL) and Juliana Brizola (PDT) in a tight first-round contest, with Zucco at 36% and Brizola at 35% in the latest September survey, ahead of incumbent-aligned Gabriel Souza (MDB) at 22%. Zucco’s positioning benefits from right-wing consolidation and alliances including PP and Novo, while Brizola heads a broad left coalition featuring PT and PSOL. Souza’s campaign has struggled to consolidate center support as the successor to term-limited Governor Eduardo Leite. With the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff approaching, trader pricing reflects the closely contested dynamics between the leading PL and PDT contenders and the limited prospects for the remaining names.

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$104,141
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Real Time Big Data and other institutes shows Luciano Zucco (PL) and Juliana Brizola (PDT) in a tight first-round contest, with Zucco at 36% and Brizola at 35% in the latest September survey, ahead of incumbent-aligned Gabriel Souza (MDB) at 22%. Zucco’s positioning benefits from right-wing consolidation and alliances including PP and Novo, while Brizola heads a broad left coalition featuring PT and PSOL. Souza’s campaign has struggled to consolidate center support as the successor to term-limited Governor Eduardo Leite. With the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff approaching, trader pricing reflects the closely contested dynamics between the leading PL and PDT contenders and the limited prospects for the remaining names.

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$104,141
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Allyson va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte en 2026 ?

Allyson va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte en 2026 ?

60%
Oui
icon for Eduardo Riedel remportera-t-il l'élection au poste de gouverneur du Mato Grosso do Sul en 2026 ?

Eduardo Riedel remportera-t-il l'élection au poste de gouverneur du Mato Grosso do Sul en 2026 ?

97%
Oui
icon for Eduardo Paes va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de Rio de Janeiro ?

Eduardo Paes va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de Rio de Janeiro ?

84%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Luciano Zucco » à 60%, suivi de « Juliana Brizola » à 35%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 60¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 60% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner » a généré $104.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 28, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner » est « Luciano Zucco » à 60%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 60% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Juliana Brizola » à 35%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.