Skip to main content
icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte
Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte
Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte

Henrique Lyra 43%

Álvaro Dias 43%

Dário Barbosa 41%

Allyson 38%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Henrique Lyra 43%

Álvaro Dias 43%

Dário Barbosa 41%

Allyson 38%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Henrique Lyra

Henrique Lyra

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Álvaro Dias

Álvaro Dias

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Dário Barbosa

Dário Barbosa

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Allyson

Allyson

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Professeur Roberio Paulino

Professeur Roberio Paulino

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Rodrigo Bolsonaro

Rodrigo Bolsonaro

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Arinalda do MLB

Arinalda do MLB

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Carlos Jararaca

Carlos Jararaca

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Cadu de Lula

Cadu de Lula

$0 Vol.

36%

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rio Grande do Norte shows a fragmented field for the October 4 gubernatorial election, with Cadu Xavier (PT) holding a modest lead in first-round surveys while Álvaro Dias (PL), Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil), and several others remain within striking distance. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices underscores high uncertainty, as no candidate has consolidated broad support across the state’s diverse regions or secured decisive endorsements from major coalitions. Key variables include the impact of national party dynamics, potential second-round alliances, and turnout patterns among swing voters in Natal and interior municipalities. Upcoming debates, candidate registration finalization, and any shifts in economic sentiment could quickly reorder preferences and create clearer separation among the contenders.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rio Grande do Norte shows a fragmented field for the October 4 gubernatorial election, with Cadu Xavier (PT) holding a modest lead in first-round surveys while Álvaro Dias (PL), Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil), and several others remain within striking distance. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices underscores high uncertainty, as no candidate has consolidated broad support across the state’s diverse regions or secured decisive endorsements from major coalitions. Key variables include the impact of national party dynamics, potential second-round alliances, and turnout patterns among swing voters in Natal and interior municipalities. Upcoming debates, candidate registration finalization, and any shifts in economic sentiment could quickly reorder preferences and create clearer separation among the contenders.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

61%
icon for Eduardo Paes va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de Rio de Janeiro ?

Eduardo Paes va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de Rio de Janeiro ?

97%
Oui
icon for Raquel Lyra va-t-elle gagner l'élection du gouverneur du Pernambouc ?

Raquel Lyra va-t-elle gagner l'élection du gouverneur du Pernambouc ?

70%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 9 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Henrique Lyra » à 43%, suivi de « Álvaro Dias » à 43%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 43¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 43% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte », parcourez les 9 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte » est « Henrique Lyra » à 43%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 43% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Álvaro Dias » à 43%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.