Google's I/O 2026 announcement of Gemini 3.5 Flash, paired with CEO Sundar Pichai's statement that the flagship 3.5 Pro variant would arrive "next month," anchors trader sentiment around a June release window. The closely matched mid-month probabilities reflect uncertainty over exact timing, as Google has historically used phased rollouts to developers and subscribers rather than a single public launch date. Competitive pressure from rivals like OpenAI and Anthropic, combined with the model's expected gains in reasoning benchmarks and agentic capabilities over the lighter 3.5 Flash, supports broad confidence in a June debut while leaving room for internal testing or minor delays. No major regulatory or supply-chain hurdles have surfaced, keeping the "no release by June 30" outcome at low implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour8 juin 43%
30 juin 40%
23 juin 40%
16 juin 38%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 juin 2026
26 juin
30%
13 juin
37%
23 juin
40%
24 juin
39%
Le 2 juin ou avant
37%
8 juin
43%
10 juin
35%
20 juin
24%
3 juin
22%
4 juin
22%
5 juin
42%
6 juin
26%
15 juin
30%
21 juin
38%
25 juin
38%
7 juin
17%
9 juin
36%
11 juin
30%
12 juin
34%
14 juin
30%
16 juin
38%
17 juin
24%
18 juin
30%
19 juin
38%
30 juin
40%
22 juin
38%
27 juin
34%
28 juin
4%
29 juin
41%
Aucune sortie d'ici le 30 juin
15%
8 juin 43%
30 juin 40%
23 juin 40%
16 juin 38%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 juin 2026
26 juin
$52 Vol.
30%
13 juin
$50 Vol.
37%
23 juin
$52 Vol.
40%
24 juin
$50 Vol.
39%
Le 2 juin ou avant
$50 Vol.
37%
8 juin
$52 Vol.
43%
10 juin
$52 Vol.
35%
20 juin
$52 Vol.
24%
3 juin
$50 Vol.
22%
4 juin
$52 Vol.
22%
5 juin
$55 Vol.
42%
6 juin
$94 Vol.
26%
15 juin
$50 Vol.
30%
21 juin
$52 Vol.
38%
25 juin
$52 Vol.
38%
7 juin
$82 Vol.
17%
9 juin
$52 Vol.
36%
11 juin
$52 Vol.
30%
12 juin
$52 Vol.
34%
14 juin
$52 Vol.
30%
16 juin
$52 Vol.
38%
17 juin
$52 Vol.
24%
18 juin
$52 Vol.
30%
19 juin
$52 Vol.
38%
30 juin
$52 Vol.
40%
22 juin
$52 Vol.
38%
27 juin
$52 Vol.
34%
28 juin
$90 Vol.
4%
29 juin
$52 Vol.
41%
Aucune sortie d'ici le 30 juin
$72 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's I/O 2026 announcement of Gemini 3.5 Flash, paired with CEO Sundar Pichai's statement that the flagship 3.5 Pro variant would arrive "next month," anchors trader sentiment around a June release window. The closely matched mid-month probabilities reflect uncertainty over exact timing, as Google has historically used phased rollouts to developers and subscribers rather than a single public launch date. Competitive pressure from rivals like OpenAI and Anthropic, combined with the model's expected gains in reasoning benchmarks and agentic capabilities over the lighter 3.5 Flash, supports broad confidence in a June debut while leaving room for internal testing or minor delays. No major regulatory or supply-chain hurdles have surfaced, keeping the "no release by June 30" outcome at low implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Volume
$1,649Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's I/O 2026 announcement of Gemini 3.5 Flash, paired with CEO Sundar Pichai's statement that the flagship 3.5 Pro variant would arrive "next month," anchors trader sentiment around a June release window. The closely matched mid-month probabilities reflect uncertainty over exact timing, as Google has historically used phased rollouts to developers and subscribers rather than a single public launch date. Competitive pressure from rivals like OpenAI and Anthropic, combined with the model's expected gains in reasoning benchmarks and agentic capabilities over the lighter 3.5 Flash, supports broad confidence in a June debut while leaving room for internal testing or minor delays. No major regulatory or supply-chain hurdles have surfaced, keeping the "no release by June 30" outcome at low implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,649Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's I/O 2026 announcement of Gemini 3.5 Flash, paired with CEO Sundar Pichai's statement that the flagship 3.5 Pro variant would arrive "next month," anchors trader sentiment around a June release window. The closely matched mid-month probabilities reflect uncertainty over exact timing, as Google has historically used phased rollouts to developers and subscribers rather than a single public launch date. Competitive pressure from rivals like OpenAI and Anthropic, combined with the model's expected gains in reasoning benchmarks and agentic capabilities over the lighter 3.5 Flash, supports broad confidence in a June debut while leaving room for internal testing or minor delays. No major regulatory or supply-chain hurdles have surfaced, keeping the "no release by June 30" outcome at low implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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