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icon for Rien ne se passe jamais : Mars

Rien ne se passe jamais : Mars

icon for Rien ne se passe jamais : Mars

Rien ne se passe jamais : Mars

Rien

61% chance
Polymarket

$338,774 Vol.

Rien

61% chance
Polymarket

$338,774 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for this market, which resolves to "Something" only if none of the specified triggers occur by March 31—including both Rep. James Talarico and Sen. John Cornyn emerging as Texas U.S. Senate primary nominees—reflecting low expectations for Cornyn's victory in the GOP runoff against AG Ken Paxton on May 26. Talarico secured the Democratic nomination on March 3 Super Tuesday, but a fresh University of Houston Hobby School poll released May 5 shows Paxton ahead 48%-45% among likely GOP primary voters (MOE ±2.8%), tightening the race yet favoring Paxton amid his stronger favorability and Trump-aligned base support. No other triggers materialized: Iranian regime endured U.S. strikes and Strait of Hormuz blockade; Federal Reserve held rates steady March 18; President Trump issued no election interference national emergency or Insurrection Act amid "No Kings" protests; SAVE Act fell short of Senate cloture.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Volume
$338,774
Date de fin
31 mars 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for this market, which resolves to "Something" only if none of the specified triggers occur by March 31—including both Rep. James Talarico and Sen. John Cornyn emerging as Texas U.S. Senate primary nominees—reflecting low expectations for Cornyn's victory in the GOP runoff against AG Ken Paxton on May 26. Talarico secured the Democratic nomination on March 3 Super Tuesday, but a fresh University of Houston Hobby School poll released May 5 shows Paxton ahead 48%-45% among likely GOP primary voters (MOE ±2.8%), tightening the race yet favoring Paxton amid his stronger favorability and Trump-aligned base support. No other triggers materialized: Iranian regime endured U.S. strikes and Strait of Hormuz blockade; Federal Reserve held rates steady March 18; President Trump issued no election interference national emergency or Insurrection Act amid "No Kings" protests; SAVE Act fell short of Senate cloture.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Volume
$338,774
Date de fin
31 mars 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf

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Questions fréquentes

« Rien ne se passe jamais : Mars » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Rien ne se passe : Mars » à 61%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 61¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 61% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Rien ne se passe jamais : Mars » a généré $338.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 3, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Rien ne se passe jamais : Mars », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Rien ne se passe jamais : Mars » est « Rien ne se passe : Mars » à 61%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 61% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Rien ne se passe jamais : Mars » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.