Dina Titus holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting her long incumbency, the district’s D+2 partisan voter index, and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including an eight-point victory in 2024. Titus secured her party’s nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Carrie Buck, a state senator endorsed by President Trump, won her primary by a similar margin but faces structural headwinds in a Las Vegas-area seat that redistricting has kept competitive yet Democratic-leaning. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Lean Democratic. Buck’s competitive fundraising and focus on issues such as education and immigration have narrowed the gap in some quarters, yet trader consensus assigns her only a low-single-digit implied probability, consistent with historical margins and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the district’s underlying partisan balance. Late-campaign shifts in national conditions or turnout patterns remain the primary variables that could narrow the contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$25,782 Vol.
$25,782 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Dina Titus (D)
95%
Carrie Buck (R)
5%
$25,782 Vol.
$25,782 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Dina Titus (D)
$9,462 Vol.
95%
Carrie Buck (R)
$16,320 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Dina Titus holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting her long incumbency, the district’s D+2 partisan voter index, and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including an eight-point victory in 2024. Titus secured her party’s nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Carrie Buck, a state senator endorsed by President Trump, won her primary by a similar margin but faces structural headwinds in a Las Vegas-area seat that redistricting has kept competitive yet Democratic-leaning. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Lean Democratic. Buck’s competitive fundraising and focus on issues such as education and immigration have narrowed the gap in some quarters, yet trader consensus assigns her only a low-single-digit implied probability, consistent with historical margins and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the district’s underlying partisan balance. Late-campaign shifts in national conditions or turnout patterns remain the primary variables that could narrow the contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$25,782Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Dina Titus holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting her long incumbency, the district’s D+2 partisan voter index, and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including an eight-point victory in 2024. Titus secured her party’s nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Carrie Buck, a state senator endorsed by President Trump, won her primary by a similar margin but faces structural headwinds in a Las Vegas-area seat that redistricting has kept competitive yet Democratic-leaning. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Lean Democratic. Buck’s competitive fundraising and focus on issues such as education and immigration have narrowed the gap in some quarters, yet trader consensus assigns her only a low-single-digit implied probability, consistent with historical margins and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the district’s underlying partisan balance. Late-campaign shifts in national conditions or turnout patterns remain the primary variables that could narrow the contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,782Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Dina Titus holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting her long incumbency, the district’s D+2 partisan voter index, and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including an eight-point victory in 2024. Titus secured her party’s nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Carrie Buck, a state senator endorsed by President Trump, won her primary by a similar margin but faces structural headwinds in a Las Vegas-area seat that redistricting has kept competitive yet Democratic-leaning. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Lean Democratic. Buck’s competitive fundraising and focus on issues such as education and immigration have narrowed the gap in some quarters, yet trader consensus assigns her only a low-single-digit implied probability, consistent with historical margins and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the district’s underlying partisan balance. Late-campaign shifts in national conditions or turnout patterns remain the primary variables that could narrow the contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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