Incumbent Rep. Dina Titus holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District race, with traders assigning her a 94.5% implied probability of victory. The district’s D+2 partisan voter index, combined with Titus’s consistent re-election margins—including an eight-point win in 2024—and multiple nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat Likely Democratic underpin this consensus. Both candidates cleared their June 9 primaries by wide margins, and fundraising has remained competitive into September, yet structural factors such as Democratic voter registration advantages and prior redistricting have limited the impact of Republican support for challenger Carrie Buck. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require substantial shifts in national conditions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$25,782 Vol.
$25,782 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Dina Titus (D)
95%
Carrie Buck (R)
5%
$25,782 Vol.
$25,782 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Dina Titus (D)
$9,462 Vol.
95%
Carrie Buck (R)
$16,320 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Dina Titus holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District race, with traders assigning her a 94.5% implied probability of victory. The district’s D+2 partisan voter index, combined with Titus’s consistent re-election margins—including an eight-point win in 2024—and multiple nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat Likely Democratic underpin this consensus. Both candidates cleared their June 9 primaries by wide margins, and fundraising has remained competitive into September, yet structural factors such as Democratic voter registration advantages and prior redistricting have limited the impact of Republican support for challenger Carrie Buck. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require substantial shifts in national conditions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$25,782Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Dina Titus holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District race, with traders assigning her a 94.5% implied probability of victory. The district’s D+2 partisan voter index, combined with Titus’s consistent re-election margins—including an eight-point win in 2024—and multiple nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat Likely Democratic underpin this consensus. Both candidates cleared their June 9 primaries by wide margins, and fundraising has remained competitive into September, yet structural factors such as Democratic voter registration advantages and prior redistricting have limited the impact of Republican support for challenger Carrie Buck. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require substantial shifts in national conditions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,782Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Dina Titus holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District race, with traders assigning her a 94.5% implied probability of victory. The district’s D+2 partisan voter index, combined with Titus’s consistent re-election margins—including an eight-point win in 2024—and multiple nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat Likely Democratic underpin this consensus. Both candidates cleared their June 9 primaries by wide margins, and fundraising has remained competitive into September, yet structural factors such as Democratic voter registration advantages and prior redistricting have limited the impact of Republican support for challenger Carrie Buck. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require substantial shifts in national conditions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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