Incumbent Democratic Representative Steven Horsford faces Republican challenger Cody Whipple in Nevada’s 4th congressional district, where recent primaries and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Likely Democratic. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2, reflecting its modest Democratic tilt, and the incumbent’s strong primary performance plus established fundraising and name recognition bolster trader expectations of continued Democratic control. Limited national attention on the race, combined with the absence of major polling shifts or late developments in the weeks before the November 3, 2026 general election, supports the current market pricing favoring the Democratic nominee by a wide margin while leaving room for standard midterm dynamics to influence the final outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNV-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NV-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
88%
Parti républicain
16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$827 Vol.
88%
Parti républicain
$605 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Steven Horsford faces Republican challenger Cody Whipple in Nevada’s 4th congressional district, where recent primaries and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Likely Democratic. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2, reflecting its modest Democratic tilt, and the incumbent’s strong primary performance plus established fundraising and name recognition bolster trader expectations of continued Democratic control. Limited national attention on the race, combined with the absence of major polling shifts or late developments in the weeks before the November 3, 2026 general election, supports the current market pricing favoring the Democratic nominee by a wide margin while leaving room for standard midterm dynamics to influence the final outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$1,432Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Steven Horsford faces Republican challenger Cody Whipple in Nevada’s 4th congressional district, where recent primaries and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Likely Democratic. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2, reflecting its modest Democratic tilt, and the incumbent’s strong primary performance plus established fundraising and name recognition bolster trader expectations of continued Democratic control. Limited national attention on the race, combined with the absence of major polling shifts or late developments in the weeks before the November 3, 2026 general election, supports the current market pricing favoring the Democratic nominee by a wide margin while leaving room for standard midterm dynamics to influence the final outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$1,432Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Steven Horsford faces Republican challenger Cody Whipple in Nevada’s 4th congressional district, where recent primaries and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Likely Democratic. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2, reflecting its modest Democratic tilt, and the incumbent’s strong primary performance plus established fundraising and name recognition bolster trader expectations of continued Democratic control. Limited national attention on the race, combined with the absence of major polling shifts or late developments in the weeks before the November 3, 2026 general election, supports the current market pricing favoring the Democratic nominee by a wide margin while leaving room for standard midterm dynamics to influence the final outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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