With over 92% of ballots counted from Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, Keiko Fujimori leads at around 17%, positioning Roberto Sánchez Palomino of Juntos por el Perú as the trader-favored second-place finisher at 70.2% implied probability, reflecting his surge to 12% on late rural and southern tallies. Rafael López Aliaga trails closely at 26.5% consensus odds after an early lead of 23% faded amid counting delays from logistical failures at remote polling stations. The fragmented 30+ candidate field ensures no majority, paving a June 7 runoff for the top two as certified by the National Jury of Elections, with López Aliaga disputing results and demanding verification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRoberto Sánchez Palomino 70.2%
Rafael López Aliaga 30%
Mario Vizcarra <1%
Alfonso López Chau <1%
$3,127,418 Vol.
$3,127,418 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
70%
Rafael López Aliaga
30%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 70.2%
Rafael López Aliaga 30%
Mario Vizcarra <1%
Alfonso López Chau <1%
$3,127,418 Vol.
$3,127,418 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
$1,179,962 Vol.
70%
Rafael López Aliaga
$1,199,433 Vol.
30%
Mario Vizcarra
$8,195 Vol.
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
$79,025 Vol.
<1%
José Luna
$4,015 Vol.
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
$4,420 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Espá
$7,489 Vol.
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
$2,781 Vol.
<1%
Mesías Guevara
$3,791 Vol.
<1%
George Forsyth
$3,359 Vol.
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
$2,378 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Nieto
$245,320 Vol.
<1%
César Acuña
$3,987 Vol.
<1%
José Williams
$3,845 Vol.
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
$188,761 Vol.
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
$112,980 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
$51,602 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
$3,316 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
$2,934 Vol.
<1%
Fernando Olivera
$3,589 Vol.
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
$12,619 Vol.
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
$4,628 Vol.
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
$4,241 Vol.
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)With over 92% of ballots counted from Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, Keiko Fujimori leads at around 17%, positioning Roberto Sánchez Palomino of Juntos por el Perú as the trader-favored second-place finisher at 70.2% implied probability, reflecting his surge to 12% on late rural and southern tallies. Rafael López Aliaga trails closely at 26.5% consensus odds after an early lead of 23% faded amid counting delays from logistical failures at remote polling stations. The fragmented 30+ candidate field ensures no majority, paving a June 7 runoff for the top two as certified by the National Jury of Elections, with López Aliaga disputing results and demanding verification.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,127,418Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)With over 92% of ballots counted from Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, Keiko Fujimori leads at around 17%, positioning Roberto Sánchez Palomino of Juntos por el Perú as the trader-favored second-place finisher at 70.2% implied probability, reflecting his surge to 12% on late rural and southern tallies. Rafael López Aliaga trails closely at 26.5% consensus odds after an early lead of 23% faded amid counting delays from logistical failures at remote polling stations. The fragmented 30+ candidate field ensures no majority, paving a June 7 runoff for the top two as certified by the National Jury of Elections, with López Aliaga disputing results and demanding verification.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$3,127,418Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 92% of ballots counted from Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, Keiko Fujimori leads at around 17%, positioning Roberto Sánchez Palomino of Juntos por el Perú as the trader-favored second-place finisher at 70.2% implied probability, reflecting his surge to 12% on late rural and southern tallies. Rafael López Aliaga trails closely at 26.5% consensus odds after an early lead of 23% faded amid counting delays from logistical failures at remote polling stations. The fragmented 30+ candidate field ensures no majority, paving a June 7 runoff for the top two as certified by the National Jury of Elections, with López Aliaga disputing results and demanding verification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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