With over 92% of actas processed by Peru's National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) as of April 16, Keiko Fujimori maintains an insurmountable 17% plurality lead in the April 12-13 first-round presidential vote—roughly five points ahead of Roberto Sánchez Palomino—driving trader consensus to 99.3% odds on her as the top finisher amid a fragmented field of 35 candidates. Logistical delays extended voting into a second day and slowed counting, sparking unsubstantiated fraud claims, but Fujimori's edge held firm from early exit polls through progressive tallies, reflecting her strong base in a politically volatile context marked by recent presidential upheavals. While a June 7 runoff looms against the runner-up, her first-round position faces slim reversal risks barring verified irregularities in the final 8% of ballots or successful court challenges, despite clean marks from EU observers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourKeiko Fujimori 99.4%
Rafael López Aliaga <1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%
Vladimir Cerrón <1%
$1,877,012 Vol.
$1,877,012 Vol.
Keiko Fujimori
99%
Rafael López Aliaga
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 99.4%
Rafael López Aliaga <1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%
Vladimir Cerrón <1%
$1,877,012 Vol.
$1,877,012 Vol.
Keiko Fujimori
99%
Rafael López Aliaga
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 92% of actas processed by Peru's National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) as of April 16, Keiko Fujimori maintains an insurmountable 17% plurality lead in the April 12-13 first-round presidential vote—roughly five points ahead of Roberto Sánchez Palomino—driving trader consensus to 99.3% odds on her as the top finisher amid a fragmented field of 35 candidates. Logistical delays extended voting into a second day and slowed counting, sparking unsubstantiated fraud claims, but Fujimori's edge held firm from early exit polls through progressive tallies, reflecting her strong base in a politically volatile context marked by recent presidential upheavals. While a June 7 runoff looms against the runner-up, her first-round position faces slim reversal risks barring verified irregularities in the final 8% of ballots or successful court challenges, despite clean marks from EU observers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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