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Élections·Élection Principale

Élection présidentielle de la Republika Srpska

icon for Élection présidentielle de la Republika Srpska
Élections·Élection Principale

Élection présidentielle de la Republika Srpska

Savo Minić 60%

Branko Blanuša 36%

Jusuf Arifagić 3.9%

Begija Smajić 3.8%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Savo Minić 60%

Branko Blanuša 36%

Jusuf Arifagić 3.9%

Begija Smajić 3.8%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Savo Minić

Savo Minić

$589 Vol.

60%

icon for Branko Blanuša

Branko Blanuša

$443 Vol.

36%

icon for Jusuf Arifagić

Jusuf Arifagić

$119 Vol.

4%

icon for Begija Smajić

Begija Smajić

$108 Vol.

4%

icon for Ćamil Duraković

Ćamil Duraković

$108 Vol.

3%

icon for Marko Jorgić

Marko Jorgić

$81 Vol.

2%

icon for Igor Balukčić

Igor Balukčić

$101 Vol.

2%

icon for Ivo Kamenjašević

Ivo Kamenjašević

$81 Vol.

1%

icon for Ivan Begić

Ivan Begić

$79 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bogdan Jovanović

Bogdan Jovanović

$45 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ramiz Salkić

Ramiz Salkić

$101 Vol.

<1%

icon for Franjo Jukić

Franjo Jukić

$101 Vol.

<1%

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Savo Minić leads the Republika Srpska presidential race in trader assessments at 60% implied probability ahead of the October 4, 2026 general election, reflecting the Alliance of Independent Social Democrats (SNSD) incumbency advantage and organizational strength following its narrow victory in the 2025–26 snap contest. The ruling party's candidate, currently serving as prime minister, benefits from institutional control and backing by influential SNSD figures, while main challenger Branko Blanuša of the Serb Democratic Party (SDS) trails at 36% amid opposition fragmentation. Lower probabilities for remaining candidates, including several independents and smaller-party figures, align with limited polling visibility and historical patterns of SNSD dominance in entity-level votes. Recent developments center on candidate confirmations and coalition alignments in July 2026, with no major shifts reported since the February 2026 rerun that confirmed the prior SNSD win.

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.

Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.

If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,954
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.izbori.ba/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Savo Minić leads the Republika Srpska presidential race in trader assessments at 60% implied probability ahead of the October 4, 2026 general election, reflecting the Alliance of Independent Social Democrats (SNSD) incumbency advantage and organizational strength following its narrow victory in the 2025–26 snap contest. The ruling party's candidate, currently serving as prime minister, benefits from institutional control and backing by influential SNSD figures, while main challenger Branko Blanuša of the Serb Democratic Party (SDS) trails at 36% amid opposition fragmentation. Lower probabilities for remaining candidates, including several independents and smaller-party figures, align with limited polling visibility and historical patterns of SNSD dominance in entity-level votes. Recent developments center on candidate confirmations and coalition alignments in July 2026, with no major shifts reported since the February 2026 rerun that confirmed the prior SNSD win.

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.

Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.

If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,954
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.izbori.ba/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Connexes

icon for Bakir Izetbegović sera-t-il membre bosniaque de la présidence de la Bosnie-Herzégovine après les élections générales de 2026 ?

Bakir Izetbegović sera-t-il membre bosniaque de la présidence de la Bosnie-Herzégovine après les élections générales de 2026 ?

54%
Oui
icon for Darijana Filipović sera-t-elle la membre croate de la présidence de la Bosnie-Herzégovine à l'issue des élections générales de 2026 ?

Darijana Filipović sera-t-elle la membre croate de la présidence de la Bosnie-Herzégovine à l'issue des élections générales de 2026 ?

70%
Oui
icon for Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

87%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection présidentielle de la Republika Srpska » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 12 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Savo Minić » à 60%, suivi de « Branko Blanuša » à 36%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 60¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 60% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection présidentielle de la Republika Srpska » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 24, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection présidentielle de la Republika Srpska », parcourez les 12 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection présidentielle de la Republika Srpska » est « Savo Minić » à 60%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 60% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Branko Blanuša » à 36%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection présidentielle de la Republika Srpska » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.