Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner's strong reelection bid drives the market's 95% consensus on a Democratic victory in the November 2026 Virginia Senate race. Virginia's electorate has favored Democrats in recent federal contests, and Warner maintains double-digit leads in available polling against Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army general who emerged from the August 4 primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the contest Solid Democrat, reflecting Warner's fundraising edge, name recognition, and the absence of competitive Democratic opposition. A Republican win would require major late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal, sharp deterioration in Warner's personal standing, or an unforeseen national political shift altering turnout patterns in this battleground state.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$16,798 Vol.
$16,798 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
95%
Républicain
5%
$16,798 Vol.
$16,798 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
$10,075 Vol.
95%
Républicain
$6,723 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner's strong reelection bid drives the market's 95% consensus on a Democratic victory in the November 2026 Virginia Senate race. Virginia's electorate has favored Democrats in recent federal contests, and Warner maintains double-digit leads in available polling against Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army general who emerged from the August 4 primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the contest Solid Democrat, reflecting Warner's fundraising edge, name recognition, and the absence of competitive Democratic opposition. A Republican win would require major late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal, sharp deterioration in Warner's personal standing, or an unforeseen national political shift altering turnout patterns in this battleground state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$16,798Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner's strong reelection bid drives the market's 95% consensus on a Democratic victory in the November 2026 Virginia Senate race. Virginia's electorate has favored Democrats in recent federal contests, and Warner maintains double-digit leads in available polling against Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army general who emerged from the August 4 primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the contest Solid Democrat, reflecting Warner's fundraising edge, name recognition, and the absence of competitive Democratic opposition. A Republican win would require major late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal, sharp deterioration in Warner's personal standing, or an unforeseen national political shift altering turnout patterns in this battleground state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$16,798Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner's strong reelection bid drives the market's 95% consensus on a Democratic victory in the November 2026 Virginia Senate race. Virginia's electorate has favored Democrats in recent federal contests, and Warner maintains double-digit leads in available polling against Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army general who emerged from the August 4 primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the contest Solid Democrat, reflecting Warner's fundraising edge, name recognition, and the absence of competitive Democratic opposition. A Republican win would require major late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal, sharp deterioration in Warner's personal standing, or an unforeseen national political shift altering turnout patterns in this battleground state.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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