Skip to main content

Pour trader aux États-Unis, va sur polymarket.us

icon for Les États-Unis vont-ils envahir le Venezuela par... ?

Les États-Unis vont-ils envahir le Venezuela par... ?

icon for Les États-Unis vont-ils envahir le Venezuela par... ?

Les États-Unis vont-ils envahir le Venezuela par... ?

$14,196,681 Vol.

30 mars 2026
Polymarket

$14,196,681 Vol.

Polymarket

31 décembre

$240,673 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.**US military action against Venezuela has centered on a targeted January 2026 operation rather than a conventional invasion.** On January 3, U.S. forces conducted airstrikes and a raid that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife, transferring them to face U.S. charges; President Trump described the goal as temporary U.S. management of the country during a transition while emphasizing oil interests and counternarcotics. The administration has since backed interim leader Delcy Rodríguez, secured an August 2026 oil agreement granting control over roughly one-fifth of Venezuela’s reserves, and advanced a three-phase stabilization, recovery, and democratic transition framework amid ongoing talks with opposition elements. June 2026 earthquakes further shifted focus toward humanitarian and reconstruction cooperation. Regional naval assets remain positioned for drug interdiction and leverage, yet no large-scale ground occupation has occurred, and statements have downplayed extended boots-on-the-ground commitments. These developments shape trader assessments of whether additional escalation would cross into full invasion territory within any near-term resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Volume
$14,196,681
Date de fin
31 mars 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.**US military action against Venezuela has centered on a targeted January 2026 operation rather than a conventional invasion.** On January 3, U.S. forces conducted airstrikes and a raid that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife, transferring them to face U.S. charges; President Trump described the goal as temporary U.S. management of the country during a transition while emphasizing oil interests and counternarcotics. The administration has since backed interim leader Delcy Rodríguez, secured an August 2026 oil agreement granting control over roughly one-fifth of Venezuela’s reserves, and advanced a three-phase stabilization, recovery, and democratic transition framework amid ongoing talks with opposition elements. June 2026 earthquakes further shifted focus toward humanitarian and reconstruction cooperation. Regional naval assets remain positioned for drug interdiction and leverage, yet no large-scale ground occupation has occurred, and statements have downplayed extended boots-on-the-ground commitments. These developments shape trader assessments of whether additional escalation would cross into full invasion territory within any near-term resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Volume
$14,196,681
Date de fin
31 mars 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Les États-Unis vont-ils envahir le Venezuela par... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 31 décembre » à 3%, suivi de « 31 décembre 2025 » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 3¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 3% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Les États-Unis vont-ils envahir le Venezuela par... ? » a généré $14.2 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Sep 6, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Les États-Unis vont-ils envahir le Venezuela par... ? », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « Les États-Unis vont-ils envahir le Venezuela par... ? » est « 31 décembre » à seulement 3%, avec « 31 décembre 2025 » juste derrière à 0%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Les États-Unis vont-ils envahir le Venezuela par... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.